Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Steinkjer vs Ranheim

0 – 6 Full time

Guldbergaunet Stadion, Steinkjer

Steinkjer 29%
Draw 19%
Ranheim 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Steinkjer vs Ranheim overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Steinkjer vs Ranheim

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySteinkjerDrawRanheim
Model28.6%19.0%52.5%
Market———
Final28.6%19.0%52.5%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Ranheim

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.84 vs 1.96.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Steinkjer ↓ / Ranheim → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 4% 1 5% 7% 6% 9% 2 4% 6% 6% 9% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 86%
No goals 1%

Steinkjer and Ranheim expected goals

Steinkjer 1.96
Ranheim 2.84

Total expected goals: 4.80

Steinkjer and Ranheim attack and defence ratings

Steinkjer

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Ranheim

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Steinkjer vs Ranheim: result vs prediction

Steinkjer 0 – 6 Ranheim

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Steinkjer vs Ranheim markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ranheim 52.5% 1.91 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 85.5% 1.17 — —
Both teams to score Yes 81.8% 1.22 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 81.0% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.9% 2.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Steinkjer28.6%
Draw19.0%
Ranheim52.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.585.5%
Under 2.514.5%
Both teams to scoreYes81.8%
No18.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.5%
12 (either side)81.0%
X2 (draw or away)71.4%
Handicap -1Ranheim win37.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss43.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.6%
1-26.4%
2-36.0%

Steinkjer vs Ranheim stats

Steinkjer and Ranheim recent form

newest first
Steinkjer no matches on record
Ranheim LWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Steinkjer vs Ranheim head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Steinkjer vs Ranheim odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.