Heming vs Stabaek overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Heming vs Stabaek
| Probability | Heming | Draw | Stabaek |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.6% | 11.4% | 82.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 6.6% | 11.4% | 82.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stabaek
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.53 vs 0.95.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
82%
No goals
2%
Heming and Stabaek expected goals
Heming
0.95
Stabaek
3.53
Total expected goals: 4.48
Heming and Stabaek attack and defence ratings
Heming
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Stabaek
Attack
1.30 +30%
Defence
0.58 -42%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Heming vs Stabaek: result vs prediction
Heming 0 – 2 Stabaek
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Heming vs Stabaek markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heming | 6.6% |
| Draw | 11.4% | |
| Stabaek | 82.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% |
| No | 39.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 17.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 88.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 93.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 68.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.3% | |
| Loss | 16.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 8.2% |
| 1-3 | 8.0% | |
| 0-2 | 7.2% |