Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 19

Strommen vs Raufoss

3 – 1 Full time

Referee: A. Al Fahad

Strommen 49%
Draw 24%
Raufoss 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Strommen vs Raufoss overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Strommen vs Raufoss

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStrommenDrawRaufoss
Model47.0%21.2%31.9%
Market49.2%24.7%26.1%
Final48.7%23.8%27.5%
Edge-2.2%-3.5%+5.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Strommen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.90.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Strommen ↓ / Raufoss → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 6% 4% 2 4% 8% 7% 5% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

Strommen and Raufoss expected goals

Strommen 2.30
Raufoss 1.90

Total expected goals: 4.19

Strommen and Raufoss attack and defence ratings

Strommen

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Raufoss

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Strommen vs Raufoss: result vs prediction

Strommen 3 – 1 Raufoss

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 19 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Strommen vs Raufoss markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Strommen 48.7% 2.05 -2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 78.9% 1.27 — —
Both teams to score Yes 77.1% 1.30 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.0% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Strommen48.7%
Draw23.8%
Raufoss27.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.578.9%
Under 2.521.1%
Both teams to scoreYes77.1%
No22.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.5%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)51.3%
Handicap -1Strommen win28.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss53.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-17.6%
1-17.2%
2-27.2%

Strommen vs Raufoss stats

Strommen and Raufoss recent form

newest first
Strommen WLLWDL
Raufoss WLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Strommen and Raufoss going into this match

league record before kick-off

Strommen record

  • They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Raufoss record

  • They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Strommen vs Raufoss head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Strommen wins 3Draws 4Raufoss wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-03RaufossStrommenNorway 1. Division1-0
2026-03-07RaufossStrommenFriendlies Clubs3-0
2025-04-24StrommenRaufossNM Cupen2-1
2025-01-25RaufossStrommenFriendlies Clubs0-0
2021-11-06RaufossStrommen1. Division4-2
2021-05-15StrommenRaufoss1. Division1-1
2020-10-24StrommenRaufoss1. Division3-2
2020-08-03RaufossStrommen1. Division1-1
2020-06-18RaufossStrommenFriendlies Clubs3-1
2019-10-20StrommenRaufoss1. Division2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Strommen vs Raufoss odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.1%, draw 24.7%, away 26.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.85 3.75 3.35
1xBet 1.88 3.80 3.60
888Sport 1.85 3.70 3.25
Bet365 1.90 3.60 3.75
BetVictor 1.87 3.80 3.60
Betano 1.90 3.65 3.55
Betfair 1.85 3.75 3.50
Dafabet 1.90 3.80 3.55
Marathonbet 1.86 3.80 3.60
Pinnacle 1.90 4.02 3.62
SBO 1.90 3.36 3.28
Superbet 1.90 3.70 3.50
Unibet 1.84 3.65 3.45
William Hill 1.85 3.70 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.88 ▲ +0.03
X 3.75 —
2 3.55 ▲ +0.10

11 snapshots recorded, from .