Norway 1. Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 20
Moss
vs
Strommen
1 – 2 Full time
Moss
43%
Draw
21%
Strommen
36%
Moss vs Strommen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Moss vs Strommen
| Probability | Moss | Draw | Strommen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 21.2% | 36.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.5% | 21.2% | 36.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
80%
No goals
2%
Moss and Strommen expected goals
Moss
2.22
Strommen
2.05
Total expected goals: 4.27
Moss and Strommen attack and defence ratings
Moss
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Strommen
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Moss vs Strommen: result vs prediction
Moss 1 – 2 Strommen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Moss vs Strommen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moss | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moss | 42.5% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Strommen | 36.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.3% |
| No | 21.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Moss win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.2% |
| 2-1 | 7.1% | |
| 1-1 | 7.0% |
Moss vs Strommen stats
Moss and Strommen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Moss and Strommen going into this match
Moss record
- They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Strommen record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Moss vs Strommen head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Moss wins
0Draws
1Strommen wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Strommen | Moss | Norway 1. Division | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.