Norway 1. Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 20
Kongsvinger
vs
Lyn
4 – 4 Full time
Kongsvinger
68%
Draw
14%
Lyn
18%
Kongsvinger vs Lyn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kongsvinger vs Lyn
| Probability | Kongsvinger | Draw | Lyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.6% | 14.4% | 18.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.6% | 14.4% | 18.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kongsvinger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.64 vs 2.02.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
98%
3+ goals
92%
No goals
1%
Kongsvinger and Lyn expected goals
Kongsvinger
3.64
Lyn
2.02
Total expected goals: 5.66
Kongsvinger and Lyn attack and defence ratings
Kongsvinger
Attack
1.94 +94%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Lyn
Attack
1.31 +31%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kongsvinger vs Lyn: result vs prediction
Kongsvinger 4 – 4 Lyn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kongsvinger vs Lyn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 67.6% |
| Draw | 14.4% | |
| Lyn | 18.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 92.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 7.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 84.7% |
| No | 15.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 51.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 32.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-2 | 5.7% |
| 3-1 | 5.7% | |
| 4-2 | 5.2% |
Kongsvinger vs Lyn stats
Kongsvinger and Lyn recent form
| Kongsvinger |
WWWWLW |
| Lyn |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kongsvinger and Lyn going into this match
Kongsvinger record
- They have won 13 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Lyn record
- They have won 7 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kongsvinger vs Lyn head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
3Kongsvinger wins
0Draws
0Lyn wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Lyn | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division | 0-3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Lyn | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Kongsvinger | Lyn | Norway 1. Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.