Norway 1. Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 21
Kongsvinger
vs
Raufoss
9 – 1 Full time
| 13′ | A. Dybevik | ||
| 23′ | A. Dybevik | ||
| 35′ | R. Christiansen | ||
| 51′ | F. Christensen | ||
| 55′ | G. JohnsonV. Lysell | ||
| 55′ | R. ChristiansenM. Flores | ||
| 57′ | H. KarlsenA. Rogulj | ||
| 57′ | E. SildnesU. Danbolt | ||
| 57′ | Y. AgyemanM. Camara | ||
| 59′ | M. Flores | ||
| 61′ | V. Fors | ||
| 64′ | A. Dybevik | ||
| 68′ | M. MbowA. Hansen | ||
| 68′ | M. GjerstromE. Nielsen | ||
| 70′ | A. Rogulj | ||
| 71′ | S. CoulibalyJ. Dalen Korsaksel | ||
| 73′ | M. Flores | ||
| 82′ | A. ChamintaL. Hovland | ||
| 83′ | E. Gartig | ||
| 84′ | R. ZekhniniN. Fremstad |
Kongsvinger
77%
Draw
13%
Raufoss
9%
Kongsvinger vs Raufoss overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kongsvinger vs Raufoss
| Probability | Kongsvinger | Draw | Raufoss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 84.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Market | 75.1% | 15.1% | 9.8% |
| Final | 77.4% | 13.5% | 9.1% |
| Edge | +9.3% | -6.5% | -2.8% |
Why Kongsvinger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.50 vs 1.54.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kongsvinger below the model: +9.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
100%
2+ goals
98%
3+ goals
94%
No goals
0%
Kongsvinger and Raufoss expected goals
Kongsvinger
4.50
Raufoss
1.54
Total expected goals: 6.04
Kongsvinger and Raufoss attack and defence ratings
Kongsvinger
Attack
1.97 +97%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Raufoss
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.31 +31%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kongsvinger vs Raufoss: result vs prediction
Kongsvinger 9 – 1 Raufoss
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kongsvinger vs Raufoss markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 77.4% | 1.29 | +9.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 77.4% |
| Draw | 13.5% | |
| Raufoss | 9.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 93.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 6.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.9% |
| No | 22.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 71.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.6% | |
| Loss | 15.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 4-1 | 6.3% |
| 5-1 | 5.7% | |
| 3-1 | 5.6% |
Kongsvinger vs Raufoss stats
Kongsvinger and Raufoss recent form
| Kongsvinger |
DWWWWL |
| Raufoss |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kongsvinger and Raufoss going into this match
Kongsvinger record
- They have won 13 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Raufoss record
- They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Kongsvinger vs Raufoss head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Kongsvinger wins
5Draws
1Raufoss wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Raufoss | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-06 | Raufoss | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-06-28 | Kongsvinger | Raufoss | Norway 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-26 | Raufoss | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Kongsvinger | Raufoss | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-06 | Kongsvinger | Raufoss | 1. Division | 1-3 |
| 2023-05-21 | Raufoss | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-22 | Raufoss | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-15 | Kongsvinger | Raufoss | 1. Division | 4-1 |
| 2022-03-18 | Raufoss | Kongsvinger | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kongsvinger vs Raufoss odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.2%, draw 14.8%, away 10.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 6.05 | 9.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.23 | 6.20 | 9.50 |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 7.00 | 10.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.23 | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.23 | 6.15 | 9.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24 | 6.34 | 10.56 |
| SBO | 1.19 | 5.90 | 7.34 |
| Unibet | 1.21 | 6.40 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.23 ▲ +0.01
X
6.10 ▼ -0.21
2
9.35 ▼ -0.30
9 snapshots recorded, from .