Egersund
vs
Kongsvinger
1 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | H. Tadesse | ||
| 24′ | H. KleppaP. Hovland | ||
| 32′ | J. Lynum | ||
| 46′ | G. JohnsonL. Langrekken | ||
| 46′ | E. NielsenM. Gjerstrom | ||
| 46′ | A. ChamintaM. Flores | ||
| 50′ | R. ChristiansenP. Udnaes | ||
| 51′ | L. Langrekken | ||
| 55′ | M. Gjerstrom | ||
| 67′ | B. BaxterR. Gyamfi | ||
| 73′ | S. R. Michalsen | ||
| 76′ | N. TornvigH. Hardarson | ||
| 76′ | S. R. MichalsenO. Toft Noreng | ||
| 84′ | M. SandeS. Elmi |
Egersund vs Kongsvinger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Egersund vs Kongsvinger
| Probability | Egersund | Draw | Kongsvinger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.8% | 12.5% | 72.7% |
| Market | 25.7% | 22.0% | 52.3% |
| Final | 23.0% | 19.6% | 57.4% |
| Edge | -10.9% | -9.6% | +20.5% |
Why Kongsvinger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.08 vs 2.06.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kongsvinger below the model: +20.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Egersund and Kongsvinger expected goals
Total expected goals: 6.14
Egersund and Kongsvinger attack and defence ratings
Egersund
Kongsvinger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Egersund vs Kongsvinger: result vs prediction
Egersund 1 – 1 Kongsvinger
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Egersund vs Kongsvinger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 57.4% | 1.74 | +20.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egersund | 23.0% |
| Draw | 19.6% | |
| Kongsvinger | 57.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 94.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 5.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 86.0% |
| No | 14.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 57.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.3% | |
| Loss | 27.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-4 | 5.3% |
| 2-3 | 5.2% | |
| 1-4 | 5.1% |
Egersund vs Kongsvinger stats
Egersund and Kongsvinger recent form
| Egersund |
DDLWLW |
| Kongsvinger |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Egersund and Kongsvinger going into this match
Egersund record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Kongsvinger record
- They have won 14 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.6 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Egersund vs Kongsvinger head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Kongsvinger | Egersund | Norway 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Kongsvinger | Egersund | Norway 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-21 | Egersund | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Kongsvinger | Egersund | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Egersund | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-06 | Egersund | Kongsvinger | 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-15 | Kongsvinger | Egersund | 1. Division | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Egersund vs Kongsvinger odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.0%, draw 22.1%, away 51.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.61 | 4.20 | 1.79 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 3.70 | 4.33 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 4.15 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 4.20 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 3.62 | 4.20 | 1.77 |
| Pinnacle | 3.79 | 4.52 | 1.77 |
| SBO | 2.87 | 3.56 | 1.92 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 3.90 | 2.16 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .