NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
jerv
vs
Egersund
1 – 2 Full time
| 1′ | P. Simba | ||
| 3′ | K. Eggen | ||
| 17′ | H. Hardarson |
jerv
29%
Draw
24%
Egersund
47%
jerv vs Egersund overview
Garuda Lions analysis: jerv vs Egersund
| Probability | jerv | Draw | Egersund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.9% | 19.1% | 65.0% |
| Market | 33.9% | 25.8% | 40.3% |
| Final | 29.4% | 24.1% | 46.5% |
| Edge | -18.0% | -6.7% | +24.6% |
Why Egersund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.22.
- The market prices Egersund below the model: +24.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
jerv and Egersund expected goals
jerv
1.22
Egersund
2.52
Total expected goals: 3.74
jerv and Egersund attack and defence ratings
jerv
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Egersund
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
jerv vs Egersund: result vs prediction
jerv 1 – 2 Egersund
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
jerv vs Egersund markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egersund | 46.5% | 2.15 | +24.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Egersund win | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | jerv | 29.4% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Egersund | 46.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Egersund win | 44.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 35.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.2% |
| 1-1 | 8.0% | |
| 1-3 | 7.7% |
jerv vs Egersund stats
jerv vs Egersund head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0jerv wins
1Draws
1Egersund wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-24 | jerv | Egersund | NM Cupen | 0-1 |
| 2020-06-22 | Egersund | jerv | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
jerv vs Egersund odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.9%, draw 25.8%, away 40.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.74 | 3.48 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.60 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.72 | 3.48 | 2.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68 | 3.30 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.40 |