Moss
vs
Haugesund
1 – 4 Full time
| 1′ | N. Semmen | ||
| 10′ | B. Leite | ||
| 28′ | N. Sandberg | ||
| 30′ | S. Molde | ||
| 34′ | J. Musbaudeen | ||
| 41′ | S. Nilsen | ||
| 46′ | B. LeiteP. Hannola | ||
| 46′ | W. KvaleN. Alexandersson | ||
| 56′ | S. Diarra | ||
| 65′ | N. Sandberg | ||
| 74′ | J. MusbaudeenT. Usman | ||
| 74′ | K. StrandeN. Ibsen | ||
| 74′ | N. SemmenM. Njie | ||
| 76′ | I. CamaraE. Andersen | ||
| 80′ | P. AndersenS. Gronli | ||
| 86′ | N. SandbergA. Grindhaug | ||
| 89′ | A. Grindhaug | ||
| 90′ | L. RemmemE. Rohd | ||
| 90′ | S. DiarraI. Seone |
Moss vs Haugesund overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Moss vs Haugesund
| Probability | Moss | Draw | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.3% | 16.8% | 64.9% |
| Market | 19.6% | 19.7% | 60.7% |
| Final | 19.3% | 19.0% | 61.7% |
| Edge | -1.3% | -2.9% | +4.2% |
Why Haugesund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.02 vs 1.65.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Haugesund below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Moss and Haugesund expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.68
Moss and Haugesund attack and defence ratings
Moss
Haugesund
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Moss vs Haugesund: result vs prediction
Moss 1 – 4 Haugesund
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Moss vs Haugesund markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 61.7% | 1.62 | +4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moss | 19.3% |
| Draw | 19.0% | |
| Haugesund | 61.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.4% |
| No | 22.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 46.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 35.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.1% |
| 1-2 | 7.0% | |
| 2-3 | 5.9% |
Moss vs Haugesund stats
Moss and Haugesund recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Moss and Haugesund going into this match
Moss record
- They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Haugesund record
- They have won 15 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Moss vs Haugesund head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Haugesund | Moss | Norway 1. Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Haugesund | Moss | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-08 | Haugesund | Moss | Eliteserien | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-05 | Moss | Haugesund | Eliteserien | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Moss vs Haugesund odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.9%, draw 19.7%, away 60.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.74 | 4.70 | 1.54 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.75 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 4.75 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 4.70 | 1.55 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.75 | 1.44 |
| Marathonbet | 4.80 | 4.70 | 1.52 |
| Pinnacle | 4.86 | 5.06 | 1.54 |
| SBO | 4.35 | 4.30 | 1.46 |
| Unibet | 3.55 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 4.40 | 1.53 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .