Stabaek
vs
Moss
2 – 3 Full time
| 10′ | O. Aga | ||
| 20′ | N. Semmen | ||
| 33′ | F. Krogstad | ||
| 45′ | J. Hanstad | ||
| 46′ | K. StrandeN. Ibsen | ||
| 57′ | G. RappA. Aamodt | ||
| 68′ | J. Musbaudeen | ||
| 71′ | M. NjieN. Alexandersson | ||
| 77′ | J. SkjelvikO. Veum | ||
| 77′ | A. MaticD. dos Santos Jonker | ||
| 77′ | J. HanstadA. Sanyang | ||
| 82′ | L. Overgaard | ||
| 83′ | N. SemmenR. Hermanstad | ||
| 87′ | K. EkornessE. Lereng |
Stabaek vs Moss overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stabaek vs Moss
| Probability | Stabaek | Draw | Moss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.7% | 14.1% | 10.2% |
| Market | 70.1% | 16.6% | 13.3% |
| Final | 71.5% | 16.0% | 12.5% |
| Edge | +5.6% | -2.5% | -3.1% |
Why Stabaek
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.15 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Stabaek below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stabaek and Moss expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.33
Stabaek and Moss attack and defence ratings
Stabaek
Moss
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stabaek vs Moss: result vs prediction
Stabaek 2 – 3 Moss
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stabaek vs Moss markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 71.5% | 1.40 | +5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 71.5% |
| Draw | 16.0% | |
| Moss | 12.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.7% |
| No | 33.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 57.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 24.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 8.1% |
| 2-1 | 7.7% | |
| 3-0 | 6.9% |
Stabaek vs Moss stats
Stabaek and Moss recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stabaek and Moss going into this match
Stabaek record
- They have won 13 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Moss record
- They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stabaek vs Moss head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Moss | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Stabaek | Moss | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Stabaek | Moss | Norway 1. Division | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-27 | Moss | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division | 4-2 |
| 2024-07-27 | Stabaek | Moss | 1. Division | 1-4 |
| 2024-05-11 | Moss | Stabaek | 1. Division | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stabaek vs Moss odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.1%, draw 16.7%, away 14.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.75 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.37 | 5.30 | 6.10 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.50 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.37 | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 6.08 | 7.04 |
| SBO | 1.32 | 4.94 | 5.42 |
| Unibet | 1.38 | 4.90 | 5.50 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .