Norway 1. Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 20
hodd
vs
Stabaek
2 – 1 Full time
hodd
16%
Draw
16%
Stabaek
68%
hodd vs Stabaek overview
Garuda Lions analysis: hodd vs Stabaek
| Probability | hodd | Draw | Stabaek |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.6% | 16.2% | 68.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 15.6% | 16.2% | 68.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stabaek
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.05 vs 1.50.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
95%
3+ goals
83%
No goals
2%
hodd and Stabaek expected goals
hodd
1.50
Stabaek
3.05
Total expected goals: 4.55
hodd and Stabaek attack and defence ratings
hodd
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Stabaek
Attack
1.56 +56%
Defence
0.68 -32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
hodd vs Stabaek: result vs prediction
hodd 2 – 1 Stabaek
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
hodd vs Stabaek markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 68.3% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | hodd | 15.6% |
| Draw | 16.2% | |
| Stabaek | 68.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% |
| No | 25.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 31.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win | 49.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 31.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.5% |
| 1-2 | 7.4% | |
| 1-4 | 5.7% |
hodd vs Stabaek stats
hodd and Stabaek recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
hodd and Stabaek going into this match
hodd record
- They have won 10 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stabaek record
- They have won 13 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
hodd vs Stabaek head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0hodd wins
1Draws
2Stabaek wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Stabaek | hodd | Norway 1. Division | 6-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | hodd | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-31 | Stabaek | hodd | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.