Norway 1. Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 20
Sogndal
vs
Stromsgodset
2 – 3 Full time
Sogndal
30%
Draw
19%
Stromsgodset
51%
Sogndal vs Stromsgodset overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sogndal vs Stromsgodset
| Probability | Sogndal | Draw | Stromsgodset |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.6% | 18.9% | 51.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.6% | 18.9% | 51.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stromsgodset
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.73 vs 2.10.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
96%
3+ goals
86%
No goals
1%
Sogndal and Stromsgodset expected goals
Sogndal
2.10
Stromsgodset
2.73
Total expected goals: 4.83
Sogndal and Stromsgodset attack and defence ratings
Sogndal
Attack
1.39 +39%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Stromsgodset
Attack
1.54 +54%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sogndal vs Stromsgodset: result vs prediction
Sogndal 2 – 3 Stromsgodset
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sogndal vs Stromsgodset markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sogndal | 29.6% |
| Draw | 18.9% | |
| Stromsgodset | 51.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 14.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82.5% |
| No | 17.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win | 33.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 48.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 6.6% |
| 1-2 | 6.2% | |
| 2-3 | 6.0% |
Sogndal vs Stromsgodset stats
Sogndal and Stromsgodset recent form
| Sogndal |
DWWLLW |
| Stromsgodset |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sogndal and Stromsgodset going into this match
Sogndal record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stromsgodset record
- They have won 12 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Sogndal vs Stromsgodset head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Sogndal wins
0Draws
1Stromsgodset wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Stromsgodset | Sogndal | Norway 1. Division | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.