Norway 1. Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 20
Egersund
vs
Asane
2 – 2 Full time
Egersund
45%
Draw
22%
Asane
33%
Egersund vs Asane overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Egersund vs Asane
| Probability | Egersund | Draw | Asane |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.9% | 22.5% | 32.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.9% | 22.5% | 32.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Egersund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.77.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
74%
No goals
3%
Egersund and Asane expected goals
Egersund
2.08
Asane
1.77
Total expected goals: 3.85
Egersund and Asane attack and defence ratings
Egersund
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Asane
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Egersund vs Asane: result vs prediction
Egersund 2 – 2 Asane
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Egersund vs Asane markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egersund | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egersund | 44.9% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Asane | 32.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.4% |
| No | 26.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Egersund win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Egersund vs Asane stats
Egersund and Asane recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Egersund and Asane going into this match
Egersund record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Asane record
- They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Egersund vs Asane head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Egersund wins
2Draws
0Asane wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Asane | Egersund | Norway 1. Division | 3-3 |
| 2025-08-23 | Egersund | Asane | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Asane | Egersund | Norway 1. Division | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.