Asane vs Lyn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Asane vs Lyn
| Probability | Asane | Draw | Lyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.8% | 21.9% | 45.3% |
| Market | 28.4% | 23.1% | 48.6% |
| Final | 29.5% | 22.8% | 47.7% |
| Edge | +4.4% | -1.2% | -3.2% |
Why Lyn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Asane and Lyn expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.01
Asane and Lyn attack and defence ratings
Asane
Lyn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Asane vs Lyn: result vs prediction
Asane 1 – 2 Lyn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Asane vs Lyn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyn | 47.7% | 2.09 | -3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asane | 29.5% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Lyn | 47.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.3% |
| No | 24.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lyn win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.9% |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Asane vs Lyn stats
Asane and Lyn recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Asane and Lyn going into this match
Asane record
- They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lyn record
- They have won 7 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Asane vs Lyn head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Lyn | Asane | Norway 1. Division | 6-2 |
| 2025-08-06 | Asane | Lyn | Norway 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-06-29 | Lyn | Asane | Norway 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Asane | Lyn | 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2024-07-20 | Lyn | Asane | 1. Division | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Asane vs Lyn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.3%, draw 23.3%, away 48.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.25 | 3.85 | 1.85 |
| 1xBet | 3.30 | 4.10 | 1.90 |
| 888Sport | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 4.10 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 4.00 | 1.91 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 4.00 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 4.10 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 3.41 | 4.35 | 1.90 |
| SBO | 2.92 | 3.59 | 1.97 |
| Superbet | 3.20 | 3.90 | 1.95 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 3.65 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.80 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .