NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Arna-Bjørnar
vs
Asane
0 – 1 Full time
Arna-Bjørnar
30%
Draw
23%
Asane
47%
Arna-Bjørnar vs Asane overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arna-Bjørnar vs Asane
| Probability | Arna-Bjørnar | Draw | Asane |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 22.8% | 47.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.8% | 22.8% | 47.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Asane
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.56.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
Arna-Bjørnar and Asane expected goals
Arna-Bjørnar
1.56
Asane
2.16
Total expected goals: 3.73
Arna-Bjørnar and Asane attack and defence ratings
Arna-Bjørnar
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Asane
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arna-Bjørnar vs Asane: result vs prediction
Arna-Bjørnar 0 – 1 Asane
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arna-Bjørnar vs Asane markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asane | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arna-Bjørnar | 29.8% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Asane | 47.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.1% |
| No | 28.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Asane win | 30.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 49.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Arna-Bjørnar vs Asane stats
Arna-Bjørnar and Asane recent form
| Arna-Bjørnar |
no matches on record |
| Asane |
WLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.