Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

SF Grei vs Lyn

0 – 4 Full time

Greibanen, Oslo

SF Grei 24%
Draw 19%
Lyn 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

SF Grei vs Lyn overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SF Grei vs Lyn

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySF GreiDrawLyn
Model23.7%19.4%57.0%
Market———
Final23.7%19.4%57.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Lyn

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.73 vs 1.63.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SF Grei ↓ / Lyn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 6% 8% 7% 9% 2 6% 6% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

SF Grei and Lyn expected goals

SF Grei 1.63
Lyn 2.73

Total expected goals: 4.37

SF Grei and Lyn attack and defence ratings

SF Grei

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Lyn

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SF Grei vs Lyn: result vs prediction

SF Grei 0 – 4 Lyn

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

SF Grei vs Lyn markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lyn 57.0% 1.76 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.6% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.4% 1.31 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 80.6% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Lyn win 41.2% 2.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SF Grei23.7%
Draw19.4%
Lyn57.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.6%
Under 2.519.4%
Both teams to scoreYes76.4%
No23.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.0%
12 (either side)80.6%
X2 (draw or away)76.3%
Handicap -1Lyn win41.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss39.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-27.7%
1-36.8%
2-26.6%

SF Grei vs Lyn stats

SF Grei and Lyn recent form

newest first
SF Grei no matches on record
Lyn WLWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SF Grei vs Lyn head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

SF Grei vs Lyn odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.