Lyn
vs
Egersund
1 – 1 Full time
| 20′ | H. Hardarson | ||
| 58′ | J. NoisJ. Skaug | ||
| 62′ | S. Vatne | ||
| 69′ | S. R. MichalsenN. Tornvig | ||
| 69′ | H. KleppaP. Hovland | ||
| 69′ | H. HardarsonH. Tadesse | ||
| 70′ | A. Olsen | ||
| 73′ | J. Gregersen | ||
| 74′ | A. OlsenA. Memedov | ||
| 79′ | K. EggenB. Baxter | ||
| 80′ | A. Hellum | ||
| 81′ | S. VatneR. Gyamfi | ||
| 90′ | I. Jonsson |
Lyn vs Egersund overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lyn vs Egersund
| Probability | Lyn | Draw | Egersund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.0% | 16.7% | 22.4% |
| Market | 48.3% | 24.3% | 27.4% |
| Final | 51.5% | 22.4% | 26.1% |
| Edge | +12.7% | -7.7% | -5.0% |
Why Lyn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.18 vs 2.01.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lyn below the model: +12.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lyn and Egersund expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.19
Lyn and Egersund attack and defence ratings
Lyn
Egersund
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lyn vs Egersund: result vs prediction
Lyn 1 – 1 Egersund
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lyn vs Egersund markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyn | 51.5% | 1.94 | +12.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Lyn win | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyn | 51.5% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Egersund | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 11.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 83.3% |
| No | 16.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lyn win | 43.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 39.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-2 | 6.0% |
| 3-1 | 6.0% | |
| 2-2 | 5.7% |
Lyn vs Egersund stats
Lyn and Egersund recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lyn and Egersund going into this match
Lyn record
- They have won 7 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Egersund record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Lyn vs Egersund head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Egersund | Lyn | Norway 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Egersund | Lyn | NM Cupen | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-19 | Lyn | Egersund | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Egersund | Lyn | Norway 1. Division | 0-5 |
| 2024-10-02 | Lyn | Egersund | 1. Division | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-04 | Egersund | Lyn | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Lyn | Egersund | 2. Division - Group 1 | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-23 | Egersund | Lyn | 2. Division - Group 1 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lyn vs Egersund odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.1%, draw 24.4%, away 28.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.80 | 3.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.08 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.80 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 4.09 | 3.53 |
| SBO | 1.99 | 3.46 | 2.80 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .