NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Lillehammer
vs
Strommen
2 – 4 Full time
Lillehammer
35%
Draw
23%
Strommen
41%
Lillehammer vs Strommen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lillehammer vs Strommen
| Probability | Lillehammer | Draw | Strommen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 23.4% | 41.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.4% | 23.4% | 41.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
71%
No goals
3%
Lillehammer and Strommen expected goals
Lillehammer
1.72
Strommen
1.96
Total expected goals: 3.68
Lillehammer and Strommen attack and defence ratings
Lillehammer
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Strommen
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lillehammer vs Strommen: result vs prediction
Lillehammer 2 – 4 Strommen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lillehammer vs Strommen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Strommen | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lillehammer | 35.4% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Strommen | 41.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.3% |
| No | 28.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Strommen win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Lillehammer vs Strommen stats
Lillehammer and Strommen recent form
| Lillehammer |
no matches on record |
| Strommen |
LLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.