Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Modum FK vs Stromsgodset

0 – 6 Full time

Modum FK 8%
Draw 12%
Stromsgodset 80%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Modum FK vs Stromsgodset overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Modum FK vs Stromsgodset

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityModum FKDrawStromsgodset
Model7.8%12.2%79.9%
Market———
Final7.8%12.2%79.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Stromsgodset

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.36 vs 1.08.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Modum FK ↓ / Stromsgodset → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 1 8% 16% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 82%
No goals 2%

Modum FK and Stromsgodset expected goals

Modum FK 1.08
Stromsgodset 3.36

Total expected goals: 4.45

Modum FK and Stromsgodset attack and defence ratings

Modum FK

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Stromsgodset

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Modum FK vs Stromsgodset: result vs prediction

Modum FK 0 – 6 Stromsgodset

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Modum FK vs Stromsgodset markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stromsgodset 79.9% 1.25 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81.9% 1.22 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.2% 1.56 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 92.2% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Stromsgodset win 63.3% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Modum FK7.8%
Draw12.2%
Stromsgodset79.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581.9%
Under 2.518.1%
Both teams to scoreYes64.2%
No35.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)20.1%
12 (either side)87.8%
X2 (draw or away)92.2%
Handicap -1Stromsgodset win63.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss20.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-38.1%
0-37.5%
1-27.2%

Modum FK vs Stromsgodset stats

Modum FK and Stromsgodset recent form

newest first
Modum FK no matches on record
Stromsgodset WLWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Modum FK vs Stromsgodset head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Modum FK vs Stromsgodset odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.