Eliteserien
·
Full time
·Matchday 21
Fredrikstad
vs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Max Nilsson | ||
| 20′ | Sander Johan ChristiansenMichael Opoku | ||
| 28′ | Olaus Jair Skarsem | ||
| 45′ | Michael OpokuAndreas Hansen | ||
| 61′ | Bryan FiabemaSalim Laghzaoui | ||
| 61′ | Benjamin Thoresen FaraasLiam West | ||
| 61′ | Solomon OwusuSimen Rafn | ||
| 68′ | Claus Babo NiyukuriPeter Reinhardsen | ||
| 77′ | Samuel HolmLeonard Owusu | ||
| 87′ | Max Nilsson | ||
| 89′ | Simen Rafn | ||
| 90′ | Sondre SorlieNoa Williams |
Fredrikstad
42%
Draw
26%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
32%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 530 | Accurate passes | 350 |
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
| Probability | Fredrikstad | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.0% | 26.2% | 20.8% |
| Market | 38.3% | 26.5% | 35.2% |
| Final | 42.0% | 26.4% | 31.6% |
| Edge | +14.7% | -0.3% | -14.4% |
Why Fredrikstad
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Fredrikstad below the model: +14.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 FF expected goals
Fredrikstad
1.71
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.70
Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 FF attack and defence ratings
Fredrikstad
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.85 -15%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: result vs prediction
Fredrikstad 1 – 1 Sarpsborg 08 FF
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fredrikstad | 42.0% | 2.38 | +14.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fredrikstad | 42.0% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% |
| No | 47.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fredrikstad win | 29.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 47.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF stats
Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 FF recent form
| Fredrikstad |
LWWWWW |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF |
DDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 FF going into this match
Fredrikstad record
- They have won 8 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sarpsborg 08 FF record
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
3Fredrikstad wins
2Draws
3Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Fredrikstad | Sarpsborg 08 FF | NM Cupen | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 0-2 |
| 2025-06-01 | Fredrikstad | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Fredrikstad | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | 2-2 |
| 2023-03-18 | Fredrikstad | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2019-05-22 | Fredrikstad | Sarpsborg 08 FF | NM Cupen | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 26.5%, away 35.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.54 | 2.75 |
| 888Sport | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.46 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.44 | 3.45 | 2.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.51 | 3.64 | 2.78 |
| SBO | 2.29 | 3.17 | 2.52 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 3.55 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.42 —
X
3.50 ▼ -0.04
2
2.63 ▼ -0.09
14 snapshots recorded, from .