Eliteserien
·
Full time
·Matchday 20
Fredrikstad
vs
Bodo/Glimt
1 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | Ole Didrik Blomberg | ||
| 45′ | Max Nilsson | ||
| 56′ | Bryan Fiabema | ||
| 58′ | Solomon Owusu | ||
| 61′ | Fredrik Sjovold | ||
| 64′ | Solomon OwusuSimen Rafn | ||
| 69′ | Ola BrynhildsenJens Petter Hauge | ||
| 69′ | Sondre AuklendJoshua Kitolano | ||
| 69′ | Samuel Holmjakub jezierski | ||
| 69′ | Bryan FiabemaGabriel Wesseh | ||
| 73′ | Jens Petter Hauge | ||
| 78′ | Benjamin Thoresen FaraasLiam West | ||
| 78′ | Sondre SørløkkSalim Laghzaoui | ||
| 81′ | Daniel Eid | ||
| 84′ | Fredrik BjorkanIsak Dybvik Maatta | ||
| 84′ | Jens Petter HaugeJoel Mvuka | ||
| 90′ | Andreas HelmersenUlrik Saltnes |
Fredrikstad
15%
Draw
18%
Bodo/Glimt
67%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 419 | Accurate passes | 613 |
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
| Probability | Fredrikstad | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.3% | 23.8% | 49.0% |
| Market | 11.0% | 16.0% | 72.9% |
| Final | 15.1% | 18.0% | 66.9% |
| Edge | +16.2% | +7.7% | -24.0% |
Why Bodo/Glimt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.44.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 5 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
66%
No goals
4%
Fredrikstad and Bodo/Glimt expected goals
Fredrikstad
1.44
Bodo/Glimt
1.96
Total expected goals: 3.40
Fredrikstad and Bodo/Glimt attack and defence ratings
Fredrikstad
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Bodo/Glimt
Attack
1.78 +78%
Defence
0.69 -31%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt: result vs prediction
Fredrikstad 1 – 2 Bodo/Glimt
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 66.9% | 1.49 | -24.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fredrikstad | 15.1% |
| Draw | 18.0% | |
| Bodo/Glimt | 66.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% |
| No | 33.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 33.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 6.8% |
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt stats
Fredrikstad and Bodo/Glimt recent form
| Fredrikstad |
WWWWWL |
| Bodo/Glimt |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fredrikstad and Bodo/Glimt going into this match
Fredrikstad record
- They have won 8 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 18 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bodo/Glimt record
- They have won 14 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
0Fredrikstad wins
1Draws
6Bodo/Glimt wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Bodo/Glimt | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Bodo/Glimt | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 5-0 |
| 2025-07-16 | Fredrikstad | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Bodo/Glimt | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-01 | Fredrikstad | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 0-2 |
| 2017-08-16 | Bodo/Glimt | Fredrikstad | 1. Division | 4-0 |
| 2017-04-23 | Fredrikstad | Bodo/Glimt | 1. Division | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.0%, draw 16.2%, away 72.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 10.60 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| 1xBet | 8.75 | 5.93 | 1.31 |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 6.00 | 1.27 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 8.75 | 5.70 | 1.28 |
| Betfair | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
| Dafabet | 9.00 | 6.20 | 1.29 |
| Marathonbet | 8.50 | 5.65 | 1.28 |
| Pinnacle | 8.71 | 6.25 | 1.30 |
| SBO | 6.38 | 4.84 | 1.28 |
| Superbet | 7.60 | 5.60 | 1.31 |
| Unibet | 8.00 | 5.30 | 1.32 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.29 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
8.50 ▲ +1.90
X
5.84 ▲ +0.84
2
1.29 ▼ -0.12
11 snapshots recorded, from .