Molde
vs
KFUM Oslo
2 – 0 Full time
| 26′ | Jørgen Isnes | ||
| 37′ | Oskar Spiten Nysaeter | ||
| 38′ | Eirik HauganMats Møller Dæhli | ||
| 47′ | Jacob Blixt Flaten | ||
| 60′ | Jacob Blixt Flaten | ||
| 65′ | Bjorn Martin KristensenJulian Bakkeli Gonstad | ||
| 70′ | Rasmus Eggen VingeIsaiah Zion Kabi Skovsgaard | ||
| 70′ | Martin Tangen VinjorBrage Tobiassen | ||
| 70′ | Fredrik Tobias BerglieDavid Hickson Gyedu | ||
| 71′ | Oskar Spiten NysaeterSander Hestetun Kilen | ||
| 71′ | Jalal AbdullaiTrent Kone-Doherty | ||
| 71′ | Caleb SeryFredrik Kristensen Dahl | ||
| 73′ | Trent Kone-Doherty | ||
| 84′ | Martin LinnesViktor Bender | ||
| 88′ | Hakon Helland HosethSander Hansen Sjokvist |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 72 | Possession % | 28 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 583 | Accurate passes | 188 |
Molde vs KFUM Oslo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Molde vs KFUM Oslo
| Probability | Molde | Draw | KFUM Oslo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.5% | 14.5% | 12.0% |
| Market | 71.1% | 17.4% | 11.5% |
| Final | 71.7% | 16.7% | 11.6% |
| Edge | +2.4% | -2.9% | +0.5% |
Why Molde
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.22 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Molde below the model: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Molde and KFUM Oslo expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.56
Molde and KFUM Oslo attack and defence ratings
Molde
KFUM Oslo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Molde vs KFUM Oslo: result vs prediction
Molde 2 – 0 KFUM Oslo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Molde vs KFUM Oslo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Molde | 71.7% | 1.39 | +2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Molde win | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Molde | 71.7% |
| Draw | 16.7% | |
| KFUM Oslo | 11.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.4% |
| No | 28.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Molde win | 55.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 26.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.8% |
| 2-1 | 7.3% | |
| 4-1 | 6.3% |
Molde vs KFUM Oslo stats
Molde and KFUM Oslo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Molde and KFUM Oslo going into this match
Molde record
- They have won 9 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KFUM Oslo record
- They have won 5 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 18 matches.
Molde vs KFUM Oslo head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | KFUM Oslo | Molde | Eliteserien | 2-4 |
| 2026-06-21 | Molde | KFUM Oslo | Friendlies Clubs | 5-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | KFUM Oslo | Molde | Eliteserien | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Molde | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 2-3 |
| 2024-09-23 | KFUM Oslo | Molde | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-20 | Molde | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Molde vs KFUM Oslo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.6%, draw 17.1%, away 11.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.30 | 5.40 | 8.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 5.70 | 8.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.32 | 5.30 | 8.00 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.31 | 6.00 | 8.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 5.85 | 7.80 |
| SBO | 1.31 | 4.78 | 5.90 |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 5.60 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .