Aalesund
vs
Start
2 – 0 Full time
| 15′ | Mbacke Diop | ||
| 20′ | Elias Kristoffersen Hagen | ||
| 24′ | Mathias Christensen | ||
| 29′ | Ólafur Gudmundsson | ||
| 45′ | Steve MvoueMikael Ugland | ||
| 59′ | Sander Erik KartumEndre Osenbroch | ||
| 59′ | Uba Charles NwokomaJakob Nyland Örsahl | ||
| 62′ | Eirik SchulzeHakon Lorentzen | ||
| 62′ | Nikolaos KoutsakosSantino Samuyiwa | ||
| 71′ | Isak Gabriel SkotheimElias Heggland Myrlid | ||
| 78′ | Ousmane Diallo Tourenikola jojic | ||
| 84′ | Deni Dashaev |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 23 |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 5 | Saves | 10 |
| 344 | Accurate passes | 413 |
Aalesund vs Start overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aalesund vs Start
| Probability | Aalesund | Draw | Start |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.1% | 13.7% | 14.2% |
| Market | 45.4% | 24.2% | 30.4% |
| Final | 52.1% | 21.6% | 26.3% |
| Edge | +26.6% | -10.5% | -16.2% |
Why Aalesund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.59 vs 1.72.
- The market prices Aalesund below the model: +26.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aalesund and Start expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.32
Aalesund and Start attack and defence ratings
Aalesund
Start
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aalesund vs Start: result vs prediction
Aalesund 2 – 0 Start
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aalesund vs Start markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aalesund | 52.1% | 1.92 | +26.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Aalesund win | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aalesund | 52.1% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Start | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 10.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.2% |
| No | 19.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aalesund win | 55.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 27.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 6.6% |
| 4-1 | 5.9% | |
| 3-2 | 5.6% |
Aalesund vs Start stats
Aalesund and Start recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aalesund and Start going into this match
Aalesund record
- They have won 2 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Start record
- They have won 3 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 18 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aalesund vs Start head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Start | Aalesund | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Start | Aalesund | Norway 1. Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Aalesund | Start | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-21 | Aalesund | Start | 1. Division | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Start | Aalesund | 1. Division | 1-3 |
| 2021-11-01 | Aalesund | Start | 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2021-05-30 | Start | Aalesund | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2020-08-30 | Start | Aalesund | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
| 2020-07-29 | Aalesund | Start | Eliteserien | 3-2 |
| 2019-10-26 | Aalesund | Start | 1. Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aalesund vs Start odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 24.5%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.91 | 3.13 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.90 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.85 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 3.82 | 3.06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 4.02 | 3.21 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.21 | 2.69 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.92 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .