Eliteserien
·
Full time
·Matchday 20
Rosenborg
vs
Ham-Kam
4 – 0 Full time
| 1′ | Emil Konradsen Ceide | ||
| 22′ | Markus Johnsgard | ||
| 45′ | Blerton Isufi | ||
| 45′ | Blerton IsufiFredrik Sjolstad | ||
| 52′ | Noah Sahsah | ||
| 59′ | Amin Chiakha | ||
| 65′ | Anders TrondsenAleksander Andresen | ||
| 65′ | Duarte MoreiraDanilo Al-Saed | ||
| 65′ | Simen Bolkan NordliMathias Ullereng Kjolo | ||
| 65′ | Adrian Nilsen PereiraTobias Solheim Dahl | ||
| 73′ | Noah SahsahDavid Duris | ||
| 76′ | Amin Chiakha | ||
| 77′ | Markus JohnsgardWilliam Osnes-Ringen | ||
| 81′ | Mohamed OfkirDavid Benjamin | ||
| 81′ | Amin ChiakhaMaciej Soboczynski | ||
| 81′ | Nemcik TomasMark Mampassi |
Rosenborg
71%
Draw
17%
Ham-Kam
12%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Offsides | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 537 | Accurate passes | 240 |
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam
| Probability | Rosenborg | Draw | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.3% | 17.3% | 14.4% |
| Market | 71.8% | 17.4% | 10.8% |
| Final | 70.9% | 17.4% | 11.7% |
| Edge | -3.5% | -0.1% | +3.6% |
Why Rosenborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
77%
No goals
2%
Rosenborg and Ham-Kam expected goals
Rosenborg
2.77
Ham-Kam
1.26
Total expected goals: 4.03
Rosenborg and Ham-Kam attack and defence ratings
Rosenborg
Attack
1.60 +60%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Ham-Kam
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam: result vs prediction
Rosenborg 4 – 0 Ham-Kam
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosenborg | 70.9% | 1.41 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosenborg | 70.9% |
| Draw | 17.4% | |
| Ham-Kam | 11.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 48.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 31.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.6% |
| 3-1 | 7.9% | |
| 1-1 | 6.8% |
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam stats
Rosenborg and Ham-Kam recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rosenborg and Ham-Kam going into this match
Rosenborg record
- They have won 8 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Ham-Kam record
- They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 18 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
5Rosenborg wins
1Draws
2Ham-Kam wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-28 | Ham-Kam | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Rosenborg | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Ham-Kam | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-14 | Rosenborg | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Ham-Kam | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 3-0 |
| 2023-06-04 | Rosenborg | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
| 2022-08-06 | Rosenborg | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-22 | Ham-Kam | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.2%, draw 18.2%, away 11.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 5.61 | 9.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.25 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.37 | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 5.45 | 9.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 5.77 | 8.80 |
| SBO | 1.32 | 4.44 | 6.28 |
| Unibet | 1.38 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.30 ▼ -0.16
X
5.35 ▲ +0.75
2
8.65 ▲ +2.70
12 snapshots recorded, from .