Eliteserien
·
Full time
·Matchday 21
Rosenborg
vs
Tromso
5 – 3 Full time
| 3′ | Ole Selnaes | ||
| 5′ | Amin Chiakha | ||
| 34′ | Noah Sahsah | ||
| 42′ | Vegard Erlien | ||
| 43′ | Aslak Fonn Witry | ||
| 45′ | Sander Håvik InnværIsak·Dahlqvist | ||
| 47′ | Noah Sahsah | ||
| 49′ | David Edvardsson | ||
| 60′ | David EdvardssonLars Olden Larsen | ||
| 60′ | Morten BjorloJesper Andreas Grundt | ||
| 66′ | Emil Konradsen CeideMathias Ullereng Kjolo | ||
| 70′ | Vegard ErlienTroy Engseth Nyhammer | ||
| 71′ | Troy Engseth Nyhammer | ||
| 73′ | Leopold Wahlstedt | ||
| 75′ | Heine Asen Larsen | ||
| 75′ | Amin ChiakhaMaciej Soboczynski | ||
| 75′ | Aslak Fonn WitryJonas Sogaard Mortensen | ||
| 75′ | Simen Bolkan NordliDavid Duris | ||
| 77′ | Ole Selnaes | ||
| 81′ | Noah SahsahTobias Solheim Dahl | ||
| 86′ | Maciej Soboczynski | ||
| 88′ | Leon HienVince Osuji | ||
| 90′ | Vince Osuji |
Rosenborg
60%
Draw
22%
Tromso
18%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 6 | Saves | 5 |
| 378 | Accurate passes | 289 |
Rosenborg vs Tromso overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rosenborg vs Tromso
| Probability | Rosenborg | Draw | Tromso |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.0% | 17.7% | 14.2% |
| Market | 56.8% | 23.4% | 19.7% |
| Final | 59.6% | 22.0% | 18.4% |
| Edge | +11.2% | -5.7% | -5.5% |
Why Rosenborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rosenborg below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
74%
No goals
3%
Rosenborg and Tromso expected goals
Rosenborg
2.68
Tromso
1.20
Total expected goals: 3.89
Rosenborg and Tromso attack and defence ratings
Rosenborg
Attack
1.70 +70%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Tromso
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rosenborg vs Tromso: result vs prediction
Rosenborg 5 – 3 Tromso
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rosenborg vs Tromso markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosenborg | 59.6% | 1.68 | +11.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosenborg | 59.6% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Tromso | 18.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.8% |
| No | 34.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 48.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 31.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 3-1 | 7.9% | |
| 2-0 | 7.4% |
Rosenborg vs Tromso stats
Rosenborg and Tromso recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rosenborg and Tromso going into this match
Rosenborg record
- They have won 8 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Tromso record
- They have won 10 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Rosenborg vs Tromso head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Rosenborg wins
1Draws
5Tromso wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Tromso | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Tromso | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Rosenborg | Tromso | Eliteserien | 4-1 |
| 2024-08-04 | Rosenborg | Tromso | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-20 | Tromso | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 3-2 |
| 2024-03-09 | Rosenborg | Tromso | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
| 2023-09-03 | Tromso | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 3-1 |
| 2023-07-16 | Rosenborg | Tromso | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-27 | Rosenborg | Tromso | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-28 | Tromso | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rosenborg vs Tromso odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.9%, draw 23.8%, away 20.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.14 | 4.86 |
| 888Sport | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.85 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.76 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 4.05 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 4.28 | 4.98 |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.65 | 4.24 |
| Superbet | 1.74 | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| Unibet | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.65 ▼ -0.50
X
4.00 ▲ +0.30
2
4.75 ▲ +1.56
13 snapshots recorded, from .