NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Fløya
vs
Rosenborg
1 – 4 Full time
| 45′ | K. Marblow | ||
| 76′ | A. F. Witry | ||
| 87′ | M. Bomholt | ||
| 89′ | E. K. Ceide | ||
| 90′ | E. K. Ceide |
Fløya
5%
Draw
7%
Rosenborg
88%
Fløya vs Rosenborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fløya vs Rosenborg
| Probability | Fløya | Draw | Rosenborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 4.7% | 7.3% | 88.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 4.7% | 7.3% | 88.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Rosenborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.45 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
98%
3+ goals
92%
No goals
1%
Fløya and Rosenborg expected goals
Fløya
1.23
Rosenborg
4.45
Total expected goals: 5.68
Fløya and Rosenborg attack and defence ratings
Fløya
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Rosenborg
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.69 -31%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fløya vs Rosenborg: result vs prediction
Fløya 1 – 4 Rosenborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fløya vs Rosenborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosenborg | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fløya | 4.7% |
| Draw | 7.3% | |
| Rosenborg | 88.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 92.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 7.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% |
| No | 30.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 12.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 92.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 95.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 76.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.6% | |
| Loss | 12.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-4 | 6.9% |
| 1-3 | 6.2% | |
| 1-5 | 6.2% |