Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Fløya vs Junkeren

5 – 3 Full time

Floyabanen, Tromso

Fløya 18%
Draw 18%
Junkeren 64%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Fløya vs Junkeren overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fløya vs Junkeren

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFløyaDrawJunkeren
Model18.1%17.6%64.2%
Market———
Final18.1%17.6%64.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Junkeren

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.84 vs 1.53.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fløya ↓ / Junkeren → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 6% 8% 7% 11% 2 6% 6% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

Fløya and Junkeren expected goals

Fløya 1.53
Junkeren 2.84

Total expected goals: 4.38

Fløya and Junkeren attack and defence ratings

Fløya

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Junkeren

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fløya vs Junkeren: result vs prediction

Fløya 5 – 3 Junkeren

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Fløya vs Junkeren markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Junkeren 64.2% 1.56 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81.3% 1.23 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.5% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 82.4% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Junkeren win 45.1% 2.22 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fløya18.1%
Draw17.6%
Junkeren64.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581.3%
Under 2.518.7%
Both teams to scoreYes74.5%
No25.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)35.8%
12 (either side)82.4%
X2 (draw or away)81.9%
Handicap -1Junkeren win45.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss35.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-27.8%
1-37.4%
1-16.0%

Fløya vs Junkeren stats

Fløya and Junkeren recent form

newest first
Fløya no matches on record
Junkeren LW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Fløya vs Junkeren head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Fløya vs Junkeren odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.