Eliteserien
·
Full time
·Matchday 21
Ham-Kam
vs
Molde
1 – 5 Full time
| 5′ | Jalal Abdullai | ||
| 6′ | Jalal Abdullai | ||
| 17′ | Birk RisaFredrik Kristensen Dahl | ||
| 41′ | Fredrik SjolstadAleksander Andresen | ||
| 46′ | Mohamed Ofkir | ||
| 56′ | Trent Kone-Doherty | ||
| 58′ | Trent Kone-Doherty | ||
| 62′ | William Osnes-RingenAnders Trondsen | ||
| 62′ | David BenjaminHenrik Udahl | ||
| 62′ | Sander Hestetun KilenMats Møller Dæhli | ||
| 63′ | Mathias LovikKristian Lonebu | ||
| 63′ | Jalal AbdullaiMartin Linnes | ||
| 78′ | Mohamed OfkirBlerton Isufi | ||
| 78′ | Ethan Amundsen-DayDanilo Al-Saed | ||
| 84′ | Trent Kone-Doherty | ||
| 89′ | Sondre GranaasNoah Ljøen Bye | ||
| 90′ | Kristian Lonebu |
Ham-Kam
21%
Draw
21%
Molde
58%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 331 | Accurate passes | 379 |
Ham-Kam vs Molde overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ham-Kam vs Molde
| Probability | Ham-Kam | Draw | Molde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.7% | 18.8% | 59.5% |
| Market | 20.9% | 22.1% | 57.0% |
| Final | 21.1% | 21.3% | 57.6% |
| Edge | +0.8% | -3.3% | +2.5% |
Why Molde
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 1.65.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Molde below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
81%
No goals
2%
Ham-Kam and Molde expected goals
Ham-Kam
1.65
Molde
2.68
Total expected goals: 4.33
Ham-Kam and Molde attack and defence ratings
Ham-Kam
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Molde
Attack
1.77 +77%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ham-Kam vs Molde: result vs prediction
Ham-Kam 1 – 5 Molde
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ham-Kam vs Molde markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Molde | 57.6% | 1.74 | +2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ham-Kam | 21.1% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Molde | 57.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.9% |
| No | 24.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Molde win | 39.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 41.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.8% |
| 1-3 | 7.0% | |
| 2-2 | 6.4% |
Ham-Kam vs Molde stats
Ham-Kam and Molde recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ham-Kam and Molde going into this match
Ham-Kam record
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 19 matches.
Molde record
- They have won 10 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ham-Kam vs Molde head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Ham-Kam wins
2Draws
7Molde wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Molde | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Molde | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Ham-Kam | Molde | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-25 | Molde | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-07 | Ham-Kam | Molde | Eliteserien | 0-1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Molde | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-07 | Ham-Kam | Molde | Eliteserien | 0-4 |
| 2022-10-09 | Molde | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 5-0 |
| 2022-07-03 | Ham-Kam | Molde | Eliteserien | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-01 | Molde | Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ham-Kam vs Molde odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.0%, draw 22.3%, away 56.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.20 | 4.10 | 1.70 |
| 1xBet | 4.56 | 4.43 | 1.66 |
| 888Sport | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.10 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.45 | 4.25 | 1.65 |
| Betfair | 4.50 | 4.33 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 4.20 | 4.10 | 1.76 |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 4.33 | 1.62 |
| Pinnacle | 4.65 | 4.62 | 1.65 |
| SBO | 3.56 | 3.54 | 1.71 |
| Unibet | 4.20 | 4.10 | 1.71 |
| William Hill | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.50 ▲ +0.35
X
4.25 ▲ +0.16
2
1.65 ▼ -0.08
13 snapshots recorded, from .