Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Trygg/Lade vs Molde

0 – 5 Full time

25′C. Zady
56′S. Granaas
75′J. Abdullai
79′J. Abdullai
84′C. Zady
Trygg/Lade 3%
Draw 10%
Molde 87%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Trygg/Lade vs Molde overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Trygg/Lade vs Molde

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTrygg/LadeDrawMolde
Model5.8%10.3%83.9%
Market2.7%9.2%88.0%
Final3.5%9.5%87.0%
Edge+3.1%+1.0%-4.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Molde

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.58 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Trygg/Lade ↓ / Molde → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 1 18% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 83%
No goals 1%

Trygg/Lade and Molde expected goals

Trygg/Lade 0.99
Molde 3.58

Total expected goals: 4.57

Trygg/Lade and Molde attack and defence ratings

Trygg/Lade

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Molde

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Trygg/Lade vs Molde: result vs prediction

Trygg/Lade 0 – 5 Molde

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Trygg/Lade vs Molde markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Molde 87.0% 1.15 -4.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83.4% 1.20 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.4% 1.63 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 96.5% 1.04 — —
Handicap -1 Molde win 68.5% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Trygg/Lade3.5%
Draw9.5%
Molde87.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.583.4%
Under 2.516.6%
Both teams to scoreYes61.4%
No38.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)13.0%
12 (either side)90.5%
X2 (draw or away)96.5%
Handicap -1Molde win68.5%
Push (exactly one goal)15.2%
Loss16.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-37.9%
1-37.8%
0-47.1%

Trygg/Lade vs Molde stats

Trygg/Lade and Molde recent form

newest first
Trygg/Lade WLW
Molde WWWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Trygg/Lade vs Molde head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Trygg/Lade vs Molde odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 2.7%, draw 9.2%, away 88.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 35.00 10.00 1.04
Bet365 34.00 10.00 1.06
BetVictor 26.00 10.50 1.05
Betano 27.00 8.00 1.08
Betfair 29.00 11.00 1.04
Marathonbet 35.00 10.00 1.04
William Hill 41.00 9.00 1.07

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.