NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Tynset
vs
Trygg/Lade
0 – 3 Full time
Tynset
26%
Draw
21%
Trygg/Lade
52%
Tynset vs Trygg/Lade overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tynset vs Trygg/Lade
| Probability | Tynset | Draw | Trygg/Lade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.3% | 21.2% | 52.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.3% | 21.2% | 52.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Trygg/Lade
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 1.60.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
77%
No goals
2%
Tynset and Trygg/Lade expected goals
Tynset
1.60
Trygg/Lade
2.48
Total expected goals: 4.08
Tynset and Trygg/Lade attack and defence ratings
Tynset
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Trygg/Lade
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tynset vs Trygg/Lade: result vs prediction
Tynset 0 – 3 Trygg/Lade
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tynset vs Trygg/Lade markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trygg/Lade | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tynset | 26.3% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Trygg/Lade | 52.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.5% |
| No | 26.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trygg/Lade win | 36.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 43.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.4% |
| 1-1 | 7.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Tynset vs Trygg/Lade stats
Tynset and Trygg/Lade recent form
| Tynset |
no matches on record |
| Trygg/Lade |
LW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.