Eliteserien · Full time ·Matchday 21

Start vs Brann

2 – 0 Full time

17′Niklas Wassberg
26′Leo Cornic
44′Ousmane Diallo Toure
57′Bård FinneNeraysho Kasanwirjo
57′Niklas WassbergKristian Eriksen
63′Nikolaos KoutsakosJesper Cornelius
76′Hakon LorentzenEirik Schulze
83′Joachim SoltvedtVetle Winger Dragsnes
83′Ulrik MathisenJulian Laegreid
86′Neraysho Kasanwirjo
90′Erlend Dahl ReitanJohan Meyer
90′Jesper Cornelius

Sparebanken Sør Arena, KristiansandReferee: O. Nilsen

Start 28%
Draw 24%
Brann 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
37 Possession % 63
9 Corners 8
10 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 3
4 Saves 4
260 Accurate passes 501

Start vs Brann overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Start vs Brann

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStartDrawBrann
Model23.7%24.0%52.3%
Market29.0%24.4%46.6%
Final27.7%24.3%48.0%
Edge-5.2%-0.4%+5.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Brann

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.27.
  • The market prices Brann below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Start ↓ / Brann → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Start and Brann expected goals

Start 1.27
Brann 1.93

Total expected goals: 3.20

Start and Brann attack and defence ratings

Start

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Brann

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Start vs Brann: result vs prediction

Start 2 – 0 Brann

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Eliteserien

Before and after this match

Start vs Brann markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brann 48.0% 2.08 +5.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.3% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.5% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.1% 2.08 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Start27.7%
Draw24.3%
Brann48.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.3%
Under 2.537.7%
Both teams to scoreYes62.5%
No37.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.0%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)72.3%
Handicap -1Brann win30.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss48.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
1-29.7%
0-27.6%

Start vs Brann stats

Start and Brann recent form

newest first
Start LWWLLW
Brann LDWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Start and Brann going into this match

league record before kick-off

Start record

  • They have won 3 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Brann record

  • They have won 8 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Start vs Brann head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

0Start wins 2Draws 7Brann wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-12BrannStartEliteserien2-1
2022-08-04BrannStart1. Division1-0
2022-07-07StartBrann1. Division0-2
2020-12-09StartBrannEliteserien1-1
2020-07-19BrannStartEliteserien1-1
2018-08-06BrannStartEliteserien4-1
2018-05-12StartBrannEliteserien0-1
2016-10-30StartBrannEliteserien1-2
2016-05-07BrannStartEliteserien1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Start vs Brann odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.7%, draw 24.6%, away 46.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.40 3.75 1.95
1xBet 3.30 3.91 2.05
888Sport 3.20 3.60 1.95
Bet365 3.40 3.75 2.00
BetVictor 3.13 3.60 2.00
Betano 3.20 3.95 2.00
Betfair 3.25 3.90 1.95
Dafabet 3.35 3.80 2.05
Marathonbet 3.22 3.82 2.00
Pinnacle 3.28 4.05 2.08
SBO 2.95 3.26 1.99
Unibet 3.25 3.80 1.98
William Hill 3.10 3.70 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.22 ▼ -0.10
X 3.82 ▼ -0.01
2 2.00 ▲ +0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from .