NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Vindbjart vs Start

2 – 3 Full time

30′J. Meyer
35′H. Heggland
50′S. Svela
56′D. Dashaev
78′N. Koutsakos
Vindbjart 12%
Draw 18%
Start 70%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Vindbjart vs Start overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vindbjart vs Start

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVindbjartDrawStart
Model20.2%23.4%56.5%
Market9.4%16.0%74.5%
Final12.1%17.8%70.0%
Edge+10.7%+7.3%-18.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Start

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.15.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vindbjart ↓ / Start → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Vindbjart and Start expected goals

Vindbjart 1.15
Start 2.01

Total expected goals: 3.15

Vindbjart and Start attack and defence ratings

Vindbjart

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Start

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vindbjart vs Start: result vs prediction

Vindbjart 2 – 3 Start

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Vindbjart vs Start markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Start 70.0% 1.43 -18.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.0% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.9% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.7% 2.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vindbjart12.1%
Draw17.8%
Start70.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.0%
Under 2.539.0%
Both teams to scoreYes59.9%
No40.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)30.0%
12 (either side)82.2%
X2 (draw or away)87.9%
Handicap -1Start win34.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss43.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
1-29.9%
0-28.7%

Vindbjart vs Start stats

Vindbjart and Start recent form

newest first
Vindbjart W
Start WLWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Vindbjart vs Start head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Vindbjart wins 0Draws 3Start wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-03StartVindbjartFriendlies Clubs2-0
2024-02-02VindbjartStartFriendlies Clubs0-3
2022-01-29StartVindbjartFriendlies Clubs3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vindbjart vs Start odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.4%, draw 16.0%, away 74.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 10.00 5.75 1.24
Bet365 9.00 5.00 1.25
BetVictor 10.00 6.00 1.22
Betano 7.80 5.80 1.27
Betfair 10.00 6.00 1.18
Marathonbet 10.00 5.75 1.23
Pinnacle 7.53 5.74 1.21
William Hill 9.50 5.00 1.25

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.