Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy

2 – 1 Full time

Mosseidmoen, Vennesla

Vindbjart 26%
Draw 21%
Flekkerøy 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVindbjartDrawFlekkerøy
Model26.4%21.2%52.4%
Market———
Final26.4%21.2%52.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Flekkerøy

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 1.61.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vindbjart ↓ / Flekkerøy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 4% 5% 1 7% 8% 7% 8% 2 5% 7% 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Vindbjart and Flekkerøy expected goals

Vindbjart 1.61
Flekkerøy 2.48

Total expected goals: 4.09

Vindbjart and Flekkerøy attack and defence ratings

Vindbjart

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Flekkerøy

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy: result vs prediction

Vindbjart 2 – 1 Flekkerøy

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Flekkerøy 52.4% 1.91 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.6% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.4% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.8% 2.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vindbjart26.4%
Draw21.2%
Flekkerøy52.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.6%
Under 2.524.4%
Both teams to scoreYes73.4%
No26.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.6%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)73.6%
Handicap -1Flekkerøy win36.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss43.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.4%
1-18.0%
2-26.9%

Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy stats

Vindbjart and Flekkerøy recent form

newest first
Vindbjart no matches on record
Flekkerøy L

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.