Fredrikstad
vs
Tromso
1 – 1 Full time
| 20′ | Max Nilsson | ||
| 25′ | Bryan Fiabema | ||
| 26′ | Troy Engseth Nyhammer | ||
| 31′ | Vetle Skjaervik | ||
| 49′ | Morten Bjorlo | ||
| 50′ | Leon Hien | ||
| 54′ | Troy Engseth NyhammerVince Osuji | ||
| 60′ | Ulrik Tillung FredriksenJohannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez | ||
| 67′ | Fredrik Holme | ||
| 70′ | Heine Asen LarsenVegard Erlien | ||
| 70′ | Morten BjorloLars Olden Larsen | ||
| 78′ | Liam WestBenjamin Thoresen Faraas | ||
| 78′ | Henrik Langaas SkogvoldGabriel Wesseh | ||
| 79′ | Ruben Jenssen | ||
| 84′ | Solomon OwusuSimen Rafn | ||
| 88′ | David EdvardssonJesper Andreas Grundt |
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 706 | Accurate passes | 327 |
Fredrikstad vs Tromso overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fredrikstad vs Tromso
| Probability | Fredrikstad | Draw | Tromso |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.3% | 23.0% | 20.7% |
| Market | 33.5% | 27.5% | 39.0% |
| Final | 39.2% | 26.4% | 34.4% |
| Edge | +5.7% | -1.1% | -4.6% |
Why Fredrikstad
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Fredrikstad below our published probability: +5.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fredrikstad and Tromso expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
Fredrikstad and Tromso attack and defence ratings
Fredrikstad
Tromso
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fredrikstad vs Tromso: result vs prediction
Fredrikstad 1 – 1 Tromso
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fredrikstad vs Tromso markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fredrikstad | 39.2% | 2.55 | +5.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fredrikstad | 39.2% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Tromso | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% |
| No | 38.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fredrikstad win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.2% |
Fredrikstad vs Tromso stats
Fredrikstad and Tromso recent form
| Fredrikstad |
DWDLWW |
| Tromso |
WWLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fredrikstad and Tromso going into this match
Fredrikstad record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tromso record
- They have won 11 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Fredrikstad vs Tromso head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Tromso | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Tromso | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Fredrikstad | Tromso | Eliteserien | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-29 | Tromso | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-25 | Fredrikstad | Tromso | Eliteserien | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fredrikstad vs Tromso odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.5%, draw 27.5%, away 39.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.43 | 2.47 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.87 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.45 | 2.46 |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 3.34 | 2.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83 | 3.54 | 2.51 |
| SBO | 2.62 | 3.04 | 2.27 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
17 snapshots recorded, from .