Eliteserien · Full time ·Matchday 23

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord

1 – 1 Full time

5′Amin Chiakha
20′Amin Chiakha
44′Ole Selnaes
45′Tobias Borkeeiet
51′Tobias Borkeeiet
56′Nemcik Tomas
61′Ole Selnaes
62′Evangelos PatoulidisBendik Slotfeldt Berntsen
63′Noah SahsahSimen Bolkan Nordli
63′Jonas SvenssonAslak Fonn Witry
67′Gustav HøjbjergVetle Walle Egeli
67′Martin HellanFredrik Carson Pedersen
73′Vetle Walle Egeli
78′Mathias Ullereng KjoloDavid Duris
80′Jakob Maslo DunsbyEdvard Sundbö Pettersen
80′Ervin GigovicJakob Vester Nielsen
87′Mads BomholtIver Fossum
87′Nemcik TomasMark Mampassi

Lerkendal Stadion, TrondheimReferee: Christian Moen

Rosenborg 66%
Draw 19%
Sandefjord 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 4
58 Possession % 42
7 Corners 1
16 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 5
3 Saves 9
437 Accurate passes 302

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rosenborg vs Sandefjord

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRosenborgDrawSandefjord
Model59.8%19.2%21.0%
Market67.8%18.6%13.6%
Final65.8%18.7%15.4%
Edge-2.0%+0.2%+1.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Rosenborg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 1.56.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rosenborg ↓ / Sandefjord → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 5% 2 5% 8% 6% 3 5% 7% 6% 4+ 6% 9% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

Rosenborg and Sandefjord expected goals

Rosenborg 2.62
Sandefjord 1.56

Total expected goals: 4.18

Rosenborg and Sandefjord attack and defence ratings

Rosenborg

Attack 1.90 +90%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Sandefjord

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord: result vs prediction

Rosenborg 1 – 1 Sandefjord

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Eliteserien

Before and after this match

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rosenborg 65.8% 1.52 -2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 78.7% 1.27 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.8% 1.35 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.6% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Rosenborg win 40.3% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rosenborg65.8%
Draw18.7%
Sandefjord15.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.578.7%
Under 2.521.3%
Both teams to scoreYes73.8%
No26.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.6%
12 (either side)81.3%
X2 (draw or away)34.2%
Handicap -1Rosenborg win40.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss40.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.2%
3-17.2%
1-16.9%

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord stats

Rosenborg and Sandefjord recent form

newest first
Rosenborg WWWWLW
Sandefjord WWLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rosenborg and Sandefjord going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rosenborg record

  • They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Sandefjord record

  • They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Rosenborg wins 3Draws 2Sandefjord wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18SandefjordRosenborgEliteserien0-0
2025-10-29RosenborgSandefjordEliteserien1-1
2025-07-06SandefjordRosenborgEliteserien2-0
2024-09-29SandefjordRosenborgEliteserien0-1
2024-04-01RosenborgSandefjordEliteserien2-0
2023-11-12SandefjordRosenborgEliteserien3-2
2023-04-23RosenborgSandefjordEliteserien1-1
2023-02-19SandefjordRosenborgFriendlies Clubs0-1
2023-02-19RosenborgSandefjordFriendlies Clubs1-0
2022-08-12SandefjordRosenborgEliteserien2-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.8%, draw 18.6%, away 13.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.40 5.34 6.88
Bet365 1.38 5.00 7.00
BetVictor 1.33 5.00 7.00
Betano 1.39 4.90 6.70
Betfair 1.33 5.00 7.50
Dafabet 1.39 5.40 6.80
Marathonbet 1.36 5.20 6.70
Pinnacle 1.38 5.61 7.17
SBO 1.32 4.57 5.99
William Hill 1.36 5.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.37 ▲ +0.01
X 5.00 —
2 6.84 ▲ +0.21

15 snapshots recorded, from .