Rosenborg
vs
Sandefjord
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rosenborg
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Rosenborg vs Sandefjord overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rosenborg vs Sandefjord
| Probability | Rosenborg | Draw | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.9% | 19.2% | 20.9% |
| Market | 68.1% | 18.2% | 13.7% |
| Final | 66.1% | 18.4% | 15.5% |
| Edge | -8.2% | +1.0% | +7.2% |
Why Rosenborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Rosenborg vs Sandefjord match preview
Rosenborg enters this match against Sandefjord with a strong probability of winning at 66%, while Sandefjord has a 16% chance of victory, and a draw stands at 19%. The expected goals for Rosenborg are 2.62, compared to Sandefjord's 1.55, indicating a potential for a high-scoring game. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Rosenborg, with an 8% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Rosenborg has recorded four wins, one loss, and one win in their last six matches, while Sandefjord has three wins, two draws, and one loss in their recent outings. Despite Rosenborg's favorable probabilities, their head-to-head record shows they have not won against Sandefjord in the last three encounters, with two draws and one loss.
Rosenborg and Sandefjord team news
Rosenborg news
- E. Slordal — foot injury
- H. Volden — injury
- I. Fossum — thigh injury
- J. Bakke — injury
Sandefjord news
- D. Koswal — knee injury
- F. Loftesnes-Bjune — thigh injury
- M. Melchior — knee injury
- N. Moller — ankle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rosenborg and Sandefjord expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.18
Rosenborg and Sandefjord attack and defence ratings
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rosenborg vs Sandefjord markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosenborg | 66.1% | 1.51 | -8.2% | 1.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosenborg | 66.1% |
| Draw | 18.4% | |
| Sandefjord | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.8% |
| No | 26.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 40.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 40.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.2% |
| 3-1 | 7.2% | |
| 1-1 | 6.9% |
Rosenborg vs Sandefjord stats
Rosenborg and Sandefjord recent form
| Rosenborg |
WWWWLW |
| Sandefjord |
WWLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rosenborg and Sandefjord season so far
Rosenborg record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Sandefjord record
- They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
Rosenborg vs Sandefjord head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Sandefjord | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Rosenborg | Sandefjord | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-06 | Sandefjord | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-29 | Sandefjord | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-01 | Rosenborg | Sandefjord | Eliteserien | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-12 | Sandefjord | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-23 | Rosenborg | Sandefjord | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-19 | Sandefjord | Rosenborg | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2023-02-19 | Rosenborg | Sandefjord | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-12 | Sandefjord | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 2-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rosenborg vs Sandefjord odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.1%, draw 18.2%, away 13.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 5.34 | 6.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.39 | 4.90 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.39 | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 5.20 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.52 | 7.01 |
| SBO | 1.32 | 4.57 | 5.99 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .