Eliteserien · Full time ·Matchday 23

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga

2 – 1 Full time

26′Aaron Kiil Olsen
31′Bilal Njie
53′Magnus Westergaard
55′Bjorn Martin Kristensen
59′Ghayas Zahid
61′Magnus WestergaardFidel Brice Ambina
61′Lucas Janus Ravn-HarenMathias Grundetjern
72′Ghayas ZahidOdin Thiago Holm
73′Bilal NjieRasmus Eggen Vinge
74′Bjorn Martin KristensenMagnus Grødem
83′Ola VistedDavid Hickson Gyedu
83′Aaron Kiil OlsenIvan Nasberg
83′Jonas Lange HjorthAmin Nouri
83′Ole Christian Hammerfjell SaeterGabriel Rajkovic
89′Amin NouriRobin Rasch

KFUM Arena, OsloReferee: Marius Lien

KFUM Oslo 38%
Draw 25%
Valerenga 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 5
38 Possession % 62
7 Corners 12
6 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 1
4 Saves 3
230 Accurate passes 428

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKFUM OsloDrawValerenga
Model52.7%20.9%26.4%
Market32.5%26.0%41.6%
Final37.5%24.7%37.8%
Edge+5.1%-1.3%-3.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KFUM Oslo ↓ / Valerenga → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 7% 5% 4+ 7% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

KFUM Oslo and Valerenga expected goals

KFUM Oslo 2.38
Valerenga 1.68

Total expected goals: 4.06

KFUM Oslo and Valerenga attack and defence ratings

KFUM Oslo

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Valerenga

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga: result vs prediction

KFUM Oslo 2 – 1 Valerenga

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Eliteserien

Before and after this match

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Valerenga 37.8% 2.65 -3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.0% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.5% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.6% 1.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KFUM Oslo37.5%
Draw24.7%
Valerenga37.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.0%
Under 2.523.0%
Both teams to scoreYes74.5%
No25.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.2%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)62.5%
Handicap -1Valerenga win12.9%
Push (exactly one goal)13.5%
Loss73.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.2%
1-17.6%
2-26.9%

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga stats

KFUM Oslo and Valerenga recent form

newest first
KFUM Oslo WWWLLW
Valerenga DWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KFUM Oslo and Valerenga going into this match

league record before kick-off

KFUM Oslo record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.

Valerenga record

  • They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0KFUM Oslo wins 2Draws 2Valerenga wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03ValerengaKFUM OsloEliteserien2-2
2026-02-21ValerengaKFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs1-0
2025-09-20ValerengaKFUM OsloEliteserien1-1
2025-05-26KFUM OsloValerengaEliteserien0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.5%, draw 26.0%, away 41.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.95 3.68 2.29
Bet365 2.88 3.70 2.25
BetVictor 2.80 3.60 2.15
Betano 2.90 3.60 2.25
Betfair 2.88 3.60 2.20
Dafabet 2.80 3.70 2.38
Marathonbet 2.88 3.58 2.23
Pinnacle 3.00 3.75 2.31
SBO 2.47 3.16 2.32
William Hill 2.80 3.50 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.88 ▲ +0.13
X 3.60 —
2 2.25 ▼ -0.05

20 snapshots recorded, from .