Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Hønefoss vs KFUM Oslo

0 – 2 Full time

45′B. Tobiassen
50′O. Visted

AKA Arena, Honefoss

Hønefoss 20%
Draw 23%
KFUM Oslo 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Hønefoss vs KFUM Oslo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hønefoss vs KFUM Oslo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHønefossDrawKFUM Oslo
Model20.0%23.1%56.9%
Market———
Final20.0%23.1%56.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why KFUM Oslo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.15.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hønefoss ↓ / KFUM Oslo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 5% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Hønefoss and KFUM Oslo expected goals

Hønefoss 1.15
KFUM Oslo 2.04

Total expected goals: 3.19

Hønefoss and KFUM Oslo attack and defence ratings

Hønefoss

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.85 -15%

KFUM Oslo

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hønefoss vs KFUM Oslo: result vs prediction

Hønefoss 0 – 2 KFUM Oslo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Hønefoss vs KFUM Oslo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KFUM Oslo 56.9% 1.76 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.9% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.5% 1.65 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.0% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.0% 2.33 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hønefoss20.0%
Draw23.1%
KFUM Oslo56.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.9%
Under 2.538.1%
Both teams to scoreYes60.5%
No39.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.1%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)80.0%
Handicap -1KFUM Oslo win35.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss43.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
1-29.8%
0-28.5%

Hønefoss vs KFUM Oslo stats

Hønefoss and KFUM Oslo recent form

newest first
Hønefoss WLW
KFUM Oslo WWLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Hønefoss vs KFUM Oslo head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Hønefoss wins 0Draws 1KFUM Oslo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-05-24HønefossKFUM OsloNM Cupen1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hønefoss vs KFUM Oslo odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.