Garuda Lions
Today
NM Cupen · Full time ·Round 1

Eik-Tønsberg vs Hønefoss

1 – 4 Full time

Eikbanen, Tonsberg

Eik-Tønsberg 24%
Draw 23%
Hønefoss 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Eik-Tønsberg vs Hønefoss overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Eik-Tønsberg vs Hønefoss

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEik-TønsbergDrawHønefoss
Model23.7%23.4%52.9%
Market———
Final23.7%23.4%52.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Hønefoss

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.27.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Eik-Tønsberg ↓ / Hønefoss → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 5% 1 10% 10% 7% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Eik-Tønsberg and Hønefoss expected goals

Eik-Tønsberg 1.27
Hønefoss 2.13

Total expected goals: 3.40

Eik-Tønsberg and Hønefoss attack and defence ratings

Eik-Tønsberg

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Hønefoss

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Eik-Tønsberg vs Hønefoss: result vs prediction

Eik-Tønsberg 1 – 4 Hønefoss

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round 1 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Eik-Tønsberg vs Hønefoss markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hønefoss 52.9% 1.89 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.8% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.4% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.6% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.9% 2.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Eik-Tønsberg23.7%
Draw23.4%
Hønefoss52.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.8%
Under 2.535.2%
Both teams to scoreYes64.4%
No35.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.1%
12 (either side)76.6%
X2 (draw or away)76.3%
Handicap -1Hønefoss win34.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss43.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
1-29.6%
0-27.3%

Eik-Tønsberg vs Hønefoss stats

Eik-Tønsberg and Hønefoss recent form

newest first
Eik-Tønsberg LWW
Hønefoss LW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Eik-Tønsberg vs Hønefoss head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Eik-Tønsberg vs Hønefoss odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.