NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Flint
vs
Sandefjord
0 – 1 Full time
| 54′ | S. Mathisen |
Flint
8%
Draw
17%
Sandefjord
75%
Flint vs Sandefjord overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Flint vs Sandefjord
| Probability | Flint | Draw | Sandefjord |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8.4% | 16.5% | 75.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 8.4% | 16.5% | 75.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sandefjord
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
4%
Flint and Sandefjord expected goals
Flint
0.77
Sandefjord
2.55
Total expected goals: 3.31
Flint and Sandefjord attack and defence ratings
Flint
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Sandefjord
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
0.64 -36%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Flint vs Sandefjord: result vs prediction
Flint 0 – 1 Sandefjord
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Flint vs Sandefjord markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sandefjord | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sandefjord win | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flint | 8.4% |
| Draw | 16.5% | |
| Sandefjord | 75.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% |
| No | 49.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 24.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 91.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sandefjord win | 54.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 24.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.8% |
| 0-3 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.1% |
Flint vs Sandefjord stats
Flint and Sandefjord recent form
| Flint |
WL |
| Sandefjord |
WLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Flint vs Sandefjord head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Flint wins
0Draws
1Sandefjord wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-22 | Flint | Sandefjord | NM Cupen | 1-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.