NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Flint
vs
Ørn Horten
2 – 0 Full time
Flint
13%
Draw
16%
Ørn Horten
71%
Flint vs Ørn Horten overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Flint vs Ørn Horten
| Probability | Flint | Draw | Ørn Horten |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.0% | 16.2% | 70.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 13.0% | 16.2% | 70.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ørn Horten
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.02 vs 1.24.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
80%
No goals
2%
Flint and Ørn Horten expected goals
Flint
1.24
Ørn Horten
3.02
Total expected goals: 4.26
Flint and Ørn Horten attack and defence ratings
Flint
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Ørn Horten
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Flint vs Ørn Horten: result vs prediction
Flint 2 – 0 Ørn Horten
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Flint vs Ørn Horten markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ørn Horten | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ørn Horten win | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flint | 13.0% |
| Draw | 16.2% | |
| Ørn Horten | 70.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% |
| No | 32.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ørn Horten win | 54.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 27.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.3% |
| 1-3 | 8.0% | |
| 0-2 | 6.6% |
Flint vs Ørn Horten stats
Flint and Ørn Horten recent form
| Flint |
L |
| Ørn Horten |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.