Eliteserien
·
Full time
·Matchday 22
Viking
vs
Lillestrom
3 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | Kristoffer Haugen | ||
| 43′ | Gianni Stensness | ||
| 71′ | Joe Bell | ||
| 76′ | Joe BellTobias Moi | ||
| 76′ | Eric KitolanoYildren Ibrahimaj | ||
| 76′ | Frederik ElkaerWinston Robin Yaw Paintsil | ||
| 76′ | Zlatko TripićSimen Kvia Egeskog | ||
| 79′ | Peter Christiansen | ||
| 80′ | Gustav Kjolstad NyheimGustav Nordh | ||
| 80′ | Daniel BassiHenrik Molvaer Melland | ||
| 83′ | Henrik BjørdalNiklas Fuglestad | ||
| 83′ | Kristoffer AskildsenJakob Segadal Hansen | ||
| 84′ | Felix Vá | ||
| 87′ | Lars RangerSturla Ottesen | ||
| 88′ | Kristoffer HaugenVetle Auklend |
Viking
67%
Draw
19%
Lillestrom
14%
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 6 |
| 349 | Accurate passes | 441 |
Viking vs Lillestrom overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viking vs Lillestrom
| Probability | Viking | Draw | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.3% | 19.5% | 14.2% |
| Market | 66.7% | 18.7% | 14.6% |
| Final | 66.6% | 18.9% | 14.5% |
| Edge | -0.4% | +0.8% | -0.4% |
Why Viking
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.05.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
Viking and Lillestrom expected goals
Viking
2.40
Lillestrom
1.05
Total expected goals: 3.45
Viking and Lillestrom attack and defence ratings
Viking
Attack
1.48 +48%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Lillestrom
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Viking vs Lillestrom: result vs prediction
Viking 3 – 0 Lillestrom
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Viking vs Lillestrom markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viking | 66.6% | 1.50 | -0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Viking win | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viking | 66.6% |
| Draw | 18.9% | |
| Lillestrom | 14.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viking win | 44.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 33.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-0 | 9.2% | |
| 1-1 | 8.8% |
Viking vs Lillestrom stats
Viking and Lillestrom recent form
| Viking |
WLDWWW |
| Lillestrom |
LWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viking and Lillestrom going into this match
Viking record
- They have won 15 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.9 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 6 penalties (50%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lillestrom record
- They have won 10 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Viking vs Lillestrom head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
6Viking wins
1Draws
2Lillestrom wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Lillestrom | Viking | Eliteserien | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-29 | Lillestrom | Viking | Eliteserien | 1-4 |
| 2024-05-16 | Viking | Lillestrom | Eliteserien | 1-4 |
| 2023-08-13 | Lillestrom | Viking | Eliteserien | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-15 | Viking | Lillestrom | Eliteserien | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-26 | Viking | Lillestrom | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-09 | Viking | Lillestrom | Eliteserien | 0-3 |
| 2022-07-10 | Lillestrom | Viking | Eliteserien | 0-1 |
| 2021-10-23 | Viking | Lillestrom | Eliteserien | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Viking vs Lillestrom odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.7%, draw 18.7%, away 14.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.42 | 5.39 | 6.41 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.30 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 5.25 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 5.61 | 6.65 |
| SBO | 1.37 | 4.94 | 5.70 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.40 ▼ -0.10
X
5.00 ▲ +0.30
2
6.41 ▲ +0.96
13 snapshots recorded, from .