Garuda Lions
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NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 64

Madla vs Viking

0 – 3 Full time

47′Z. Tripic
50′P. Christiansen
82′P. Christiansen
Madla 5%
Draw 11%
Viking 85%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Madla vs Viking overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Madla vs Viking

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMadlaDrawViking
Model5.1%10.3%84.6%
Market4.5%10.9%84.7%
Final4.6%10.7%84.6%
Edge+0.6%-0.6%-0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Viking

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.43 vs 0.85.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Madla ↓ / Viking → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 1 16% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Madla and Viking expected goals

Madla 0.85
Viking 3.43

Total expected goals: 4.28

Madla and Viking attack and defence ratings

Madla

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Viking

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.62 -38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Madla vs Viking: result vs prediction

Madla 0 – 3 Viking

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Madla vs Viking markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Viking 84.6% 1.18 -0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.0% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 95.4% 1.05 — —
Handicap -1 Viking win 69.0% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Madla4.6%
Draw10.7%
Viking84.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.0%
Under 2.520.0%
Both teams to scoreYes55.8%
No44.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)15.4%
12 (either side)89.3%
X2 (draw or away)95.4%
Handicap -1Viking win69.0%
Push (exactly one goal)15.6%
Loss15.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-39.3%
0-28.1%
0-48.0%

Madla vs Viking stats

Madla and Viking recent form

newest first
Madla WL
Viking WWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Madla vs Viking head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Madla vs Viking odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 4.5%, draw 10.9%, away 84.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 24.00 8.30 1.08
Bet365 19.00 9.00 1.10
BetVictor 22.00 10.00 1.06
Betano 15.50 8.00 1.11
Betfair 17.00 9.50 1.07
Marathonbet 24.00 8.30 1.08
Pinnacle 12.66 8.49 1.08
William Hill 26.00 7.50 1.11

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 20.50 ▲ +6.50
X 8.39 ▲ +1.79
2 1.08 ▼ -0.07

2 snapshots recorded, from .