Madla vs Vidar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Madla vs Vidar
| Probability | Madla | Draw | Vidar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.6% | 21.3% | 50.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.6% | 21.3% | 50.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vidar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.69.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
78%
No goals
2%
Madla and Vidar expected goals
Madla
1.69
Vidar
2.45
Total expected goals: 4.14
Madla and Vidar attack and defence ratings
Madla
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Vidar
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Madla vs Vidar: result vs prediction
Madla 3 – 2 Vidar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Madla vs Vidar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vidar | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Madla | 28.6% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Vidar | 50.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.8% |
| No | 25.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vidar win | 34.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 46.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.1% |
| 1-1 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |