Lillestrom
vs
Torreense
1 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | Alejandro Alfaro | ||
| 49′ | Manuel Pozo | ||
| 51′ | Manuel Pozo | ||
| 57′ | David Bruno | ||
| 58′ | Fredrik Gulbrandsen | ||
| 60′ | Fredrik GulbrandsenThomas Lehne Olsen | ||
| 60′ | Yildren IbrahimajEric Kitolano | ||
| 61′ | Winston Robin Yaw PaintsilDaniel Bassi | ||
| 65′ | Manuel PozoNuha Jatta | ||
| 69′ | Nuha Jatta | ||
| 71′ | Dany Jean | ||
| 76′ | Filip OttossonKevin Martin Krygard | ||
| 78′ | Malik Abubakarimusa drammeh | ||
| 78′ | João MarquesAndre Simões | ||
| 79′ | Thomas Lehne Olsen | ||
| 81′ | Gustav Kjolstad NyheimHenrik Molvaer Melland | ||
| 85′ | Nuha Jatta | ||
| 87′ | Dany JeanJuan María Alcedo | ||
| 87′ | Javi VazquezIanique Tavares Stopira |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 486 | Accurate passes | 211 |
Lillestrom vs Torreense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lillestrom vs Torreense
| Probability | Lillestrom | Draw | Torreense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 29.1% | 26.5% |
| Market | 58.4% | 23.1% | 18.5% |
| Final | 54.9% | 24.6% | 20.5% |
| Edge | -14.0% | +6.0% | +8.0% |
Why Lillestrom
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lillestrom and Torreense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Lillestrom and Torreense attack and defence ratings
Lillestrom
Torreense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lillestrom vs Torreense: result vs prediction
Lillestrom 1 – 2 Torreense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lillestrom vs Torreense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lillestrom | 54.9% | 1.82 | -14.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lillestrom | 54.9% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Torreense | 20.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lillestrom win | 22.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.7% | |
| 0-0 | 9.6% |
Lillestrom vs Torreense stats
Lillestrom and Torreense recent form
| Lillestrom |
WWWLWD |
| Torreense |
DWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lillestrom vs Torreense head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lillestrom vs Torreense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.4%, draw 23.1%, away 18.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.39 | 5.17 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 4.15 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 4.33 | 5.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 4.36 | 5.23 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 4.01 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .