Tondela
vs
Torreense
1 – 0 Full time
| 22′ | Clebson Cicero | ||
| 31′ | Carraça | ||
| 35′ | João Marques | ||
| 45′ | Malik Abubakari | ||
| 56′ | Lucas Paes | ||
| 56′ | Adriel | ||
| 60′ | José María Pérez García | ||
| 62′ | L. QuinteroLucas Paes | ||
| 62′ | CarraçaBebeto | ||
| 72′ | Malik Abubakarimusa drammeh | ||
| 72′ | Dany JeanNuha Jatta | ||
| 73′ | Clebson CiceroTiago Dias | ||
| 74′ | Hugo FélixSphephelo Sithole | ||
| 74′ | Mohamed Ali Diadie | ||
| 78′ | Alejandro AlfaroAndre Simões | ||
| 78′ | João MarquesIanique Tavares Stopira | ||
| 87′ | Arjen Van Der HeideRicharllyson Carvalho Alves | ||
| 87′ | Mateus FerreiraJoao Marcos Lima Candido | ||
| 90′ | Bebeto | ||
| 90′ | Richarllyson Carvalho Alves | ||
| 90′ | Rodrigo Cascavel |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
Tondela vs Torreense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tondela vs Torreense
| Probability | Tondela | Draw | Torreense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.9% | 27.2% | 30.9% |
| Market | 39.9% | 29.6% | 30.4% |
| Final | 40.4% | 29.0% | 30.5% |
| Edge | +0.5% | -0.6% | +0.1% |
Why Tondela
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tondela and Torreense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Tondela and Torreense attack and defence ratings
Tondela
Torreense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tondela vs Torreense: result vs prediction
Tondela 1 – 0 Torreense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tondela vs Torreense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tondela | 40.4% | 2.47 | +0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tondela | 40.4% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Torreense | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tondela win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 58.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Tondela vs Torreense stats
Tondela and Torreense recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tondela and Torreense going into this match
Tondela record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Torreense record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tondela vs Torreense head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | Tondela | Torreense | Segunda Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-04 | Torreense | Tondela | Segunda Liga | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-15 | Torreense | Tondela | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-26 | Torreense | Tondela | Taça de Portugal | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Tondela | Torreense | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-03-04 | Tondela | Torreense | Segunda Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-11-24 | Tondela | Torreense | Taça da Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-11 | Torreense | Tondela | Segunda Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tondela vs Torreense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.9%, draw 29.6%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.10 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.15 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.42 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 3.15 | 3.17 |
| SBO | 2.26 | 2.93 | 2.73 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .