Farense
vs
Feirense
2 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | André Lopes | ||
| 29′ | Gonçalo Silva | ||
| 50′ | Sarpreet Singh | ||
| 54′ | Gonçalo Silva | ||
| 56′ | Henrique PereiraPedro Henrique de Oliveira da Silva | ||
| 56′ | Luiz GustavoDiogo Mendes | ||
| 56′ | Guilherme Meira Ferreira AlvesAlexandre Guedes | ||
| 68′ | Antonio Leal MateosJair Monteiro | ||
| 68′ | Mohamed DiabyTiago Castro | ||
| 70′ | Nelson OliveiraDerick Poloni | ||
| 70′ | Joao·ResendeGabriel Barbosa | ||
| 79′ | Mattheus de Andrade Gama OliveiraMiguel menino | ||
| 79′ | Gonçalo SilvaJoseph N'Duquidi | ||
| 80′ | Jair Monteiro | ||
| 90′ | Sarpreet SinghLucas Caetano D'Agrella |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
Farense vs Feirense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Farense vs Feirense
| Probability | Farense | Draw | Feirense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.5% | 25.3% | 7.3% |
| Market | 55.1% | 25.6% | 19.2% |
| Final | 58.2% | 25.6% | 16.2% |
| Edge | +3.1% | -0.1% | -3.0% |
Why Farense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.36.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Farense below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Farense and Feirense expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.95
Farense and Feirense attack and defence ratings
Farense
Feirense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Farense vs Feirense: result vs prediction
Farense 2 – 1 Feirense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Farense vs Feirense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farense | 58.2% | 1.72 | +3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Farense win | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farense | 58.2% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Feirense | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25.1% |
| No | 74.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Farense win | 38.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.9% | |
| Loss | 32.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 21.7% |
| 2-0 | 17.9% | |
| 0-0 | 15.0% |
Farense vs Feirense stats
Farense and Feirense recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Farense and Feirense going into this match
Farense record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Feirense record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 6 matches.
Farense vs Feirense head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Farense | Feirense | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Feirense | Farense | Segunda Liga | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Feirense | Farense | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
| 2022-11-12 | Farense | Feirense | Segunda Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-02-08 | Feirense | Farense | Segunda Liga | 4-1 |
| 2021-08-29 | Farense | Feirense | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2019-12-15 | Farense | Feirense | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Farense vs Feirense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 25.6%, away 19.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.60 | 4.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.60 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.69 | 5.05 |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.10 | 4.05 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.30 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .