Farense
vs
Feirense
Garuda Lions Prediction: Farense
1 – 0 Predicted score · 22% model probability
Farense vs Feirense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Farense vs Feirense
| Probability | Farense | Draw | Feirense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.7% | 25.1% | 7.2% |
| Market | 54.8% | 26.0% | 19.2% |
| Final | 58.0% | 25.8% | 16.2% |
| Edge | +12.9% | -0.9% | -12.0% |
Why Farense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.36.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Farense below the model: +12.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.81, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Farense vs Feirense match preview
Farense is favored to win against Feirense in their upcoming Segunda Liga match, with model probabilities indicating a 68% chance of victory for Farense, compared to just 7% for Feirense. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring 22% of the time. Farense has shown solid recent form, with two wins and a draw in their last five matches, while Feirense is struggling, having lost their last six games.
The expected goals statistics further highlight the disparity between the teams, with Farense at 1.60 and Feirense at only 0.36. Despite a recent head-to-head record that shows Feirense has one win and one draw in their last two encounters with Farense, the current form and statistical indicators suggest a challenging match ahead for Feirense.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Farense and Feirense expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.96
Farense and Feirense attack and defence ratings
Farense
Feirense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Farense vs Feirense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farense | 58.0% | 1.72 | +12.9% | 1.81 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Farense win | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farense | 58.0% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Feirense | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25.1% |
| No | 74.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Farense win | 38.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.9% | |
| Loss | 32.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 21.7% |
| 2-0 | 18.0% | |
| 0-0 | 14.9% |
Farense vs Feirense stats
Farense and Feirense recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Farense and Feirense season so far
Farense record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Feirense record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Farense vs Feirense head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Farense | Feirense | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Feirense | Farense | Segunda Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Farense vs Feirense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 26.0%, away 19.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.60 | 4.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.55 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.60 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 3.68 | 5.06 |
| SBO | 1.74 | 3.04 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .