Farense
vs
Chaves
4 – 0 Full time
| 3′ | Nermin Zolotic | ||
| 6′ | André Candeias | ||
| 45′ | Gonçalo Silva | ||
| 46′ | Marcos André Paulino MaiaGabriel Souza da Silva | ||
| 46′ | Dru Yearwoodmohamed fofana | ||
| 46′ | Gilberto GarcíaPedro Pelágio | ||
| 49′ | Claudio Falcão | ||
| 58′ | Tomás Morais Costa | ||
| 59′ | Tomás Morais CostaRoberto | ||
| 59′ | Andre RodriguesJoão Teixeira | ||
| 60′ | Nermin ZoloticRodrigo Borges | ||
| 60′ | Nelson OliveiraGabriel Barbosa | ||
| 67′ | Joao·ResendeDerick Poloni | ||
| 67′ | Mattheus de Andrade Gama OliveiraJoseph N'Duquidi | ||
| 71′ | mohamed fofana | ||
| 80′ | Derick Poloni | ||
| 82′ | Sarpreet SinghRafael Teixeira |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
Farense vs Chaves overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Farense vs Chaves
| Probability | Farense | Draw | Chaves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.0% | 27.8% | 20.3% |
| Market | 42.8% | 28.1% | 29.1% |
| Final | 45.1% | 28.0% | 26.9% |
| Edge | +9.1% | -0.3% | -8.8% |
Why Farense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Farense below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Farense and Chaves expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.46
Farense and Chaves attack and defence ratings
Farense
Chaves
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Farense vs Chaves: result vs prediction
Farense 4 – 0 Chaves
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Farense vs Chaves markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farense | 45.1% | 2.22 | +9.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farense | 45.1% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Chaves | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.0% |
| No | 52.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Farense win | 27.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 48.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.2% | |
| 2-0 | 10.5% |
Farense vs Chaves stats
Farense and Chaves recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Farense and Chaves going into this match
Farense record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chaves record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Farense vs Chaves head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Chaves | Farense | Segunda Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Farense | Chaves | Segunda Liga | 0-2 |
| 2024-02-04 | Chaves | Farense | Primeira Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | Farense | Chaves | Primeira Liga | 5-0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Farense | Chaves | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
| 2021-12-18 | Chaves | Farense | Segunda Liga | 2-1 |
| 2021-07-24 | Chaves | Farense | Taça da Liga | 1-2 |
| 2019-11-30 | Farense | Chaves | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Farense vs Chaves odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 28.1%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.70 | 3.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.26 | 3.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.34 | 3.36 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.02 | 2.93 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .