Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Sacavenense
vs
Farense
0 – 1 Full time
| 87′ | D. Crespo |
Sacavenense
38%
Draw
30%
Farense
32%
Sacavenense vs Farense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sacavenense vs Farense
| Probability | Sacavenense | Draw | Farense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 30.1% | 31.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.0% | 30.1% | 31.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Sacavenense and Farense expected goals
Sacavenense
1.28
Farense
1.14
Total expected goals: 2.42
Sacavenense and Farense attack and defence ratings
Sacavenense
Attack
1.27 +27%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Farense
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
0.59 -41%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sacavenense vs Farense: result vs prediction
Sacavenense 0 – 1 Farense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sacavenense vs Farense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sacavenense | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sacavenense | 38.0% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Farense | 31.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sacavenense win | 17.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 61.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.0% |
Sacavenense vs Farense stats
Sacavenense and Farense recent form
| Sacavenense |
LLW |
| Farense |
DLDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.