Salgueiros
vs
Feirense
1 – 0 Full time
| 90′ | Gustavo Coutinho |
Salgueiros vs Feirense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Salgueiros vs Feirense
| Probability | Salgueiros | Draw | Feirense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.2% | 24.1% | 15.8% |
| Market | 23.9% | 28.8% | 47.3% |
| Final | 32.9% | 27.6% | 39.4% |
| Edge | +36.3% | -4.8% | -31.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Salgueiros and Feirense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Salgueiros and Feirense attack and defence ratings
Salgueiros
Feirense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Salgueiros vs Feirense: result vs prediction
Salgueiros 1 – 0 Feirense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
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- Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim — team news & stats
- Atlético CP vs Lagoa
- Oliveirense vs Penafiel — team news & stats
- Recreativa de Lamelas v Santo Antonio — match page
Before and after this match
Salgueiros vs Feirense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feirense | 39.4% | 2.54 | -31.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salgueiros | 32.9% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Feirense | 39.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Feirense win | 5.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 10.7% | |
| Loss | 83.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-0 | 11.3% | |
| 1-0 | 11.0% |
Salgueiros vs Feirense stats
Salgueiros and Feirense recent form
| Salgueiros |
WLW |
| Feirense |
LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Salgueiros vs Feirense head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Salgueiros vs Feirense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.9%, draw 28.8%, away 47.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.85 | 3.12 | 1.90 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.25 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 3.75 | 3.12 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 3.78 | 3.05 | 1.88 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 2.90 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .