Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·Round of 128
Real
vs
Academica
1 – 4 Full time
| 8′ | A. Coundoul | ||
| 34′ | K. Zohi | ||
| 52′ | C. A. Acosta Pinerez | ||
| 58′ | A. Coundoul | ||
| 90′ | I. Faure |
Real
55%
Draw
26%
Academica
20%
Real vs Academica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real vs Academica
| Probability | Real | Draw | Academica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.5% | 25.8% | 19.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.5% | 25.8% | 19.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Real
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.96.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Real and Academica expected goals
Real
1.74
Academica
0.96
Total expected goals: 2.70
Real and Academica attack and defence ratings
Real
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Academica
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real vs Academica: result vs prediction
Real 1 – 4 Academica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Imortal Albufeira vs Tondela
- Castro Daire v Portimonense — match page
- Naval 1893 vs Felgueiras 1932 — team news & stats
- Vitória de Sernache vs Varzim — team news & stats
- Atlético CP vs Lagoa
- Salgueiros vs Feirense
- Oliveirense vs Penafiel — team news & stats
- Recreativa de Lamelas v Santo Antonio — match page
Before and after this match
Real vs Academica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real | 54.5% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Academica | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real win | 31.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 45.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | |
| 2-0 | 10.1% |
Real vs Academica stats
Real vs Academica head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
1Real wins
0Draws
3Academica wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-11 | Real | Academica | Liga 3 | 1-2 |
| 2022-12-04 | Academica | Real | Liga 3 | 0-2 |
| 2018-04-21 | Academica | Real | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2017-12-09 | Real | Academica | Segunda Liga | 3-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.